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Superligaen

Referee: M Tykgaard

Nordsjaelland

T S S S S

3–3

Full-time

Vejle

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Vejle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,3

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 33%

50%

15%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

70%

60%

Both score Ø 53%

45%

60%

Average goals

3,4

3,1

Scored

1,7

1,1

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,71 xG 1,40

66% Possession 34%

11 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nordsjaelland 6. · Vejle 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	20	13	5	2	+19	+16.4	44
2	Midtjylland	20	12	6	2	+31	+6.1	42
3	Brondby	20	10	2	8	+9	+8.9	32
4	Sonderjyske	20	9	5	6	+5	-0.8	32
5	Viborg	20	9	3	8	+4	-2.5	30
6	Nordsjaelland	20	10	0	10	-1	-1.3	30
7	FC Copenhagen	20	8	4	8	+2	+13.7	28
8	Odense	20	7	5	8	-9	+2.3	26
9	Randers FC	20	6	5	9	-5	+3.8	23
10	Silkeborg	20	5	4	11	-16	-15.4	19
11	Fredericia	20	5	3	12	-21	-19.2	18
12	Vejle	20	3	4	13	-18	-12.1	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	10	7	3	0	+20	+8.0	24
2	Aarhus	10	7	1	2	+9	+15.3	22
3	Sonderjyske	10	6	2	2	+7	+2.7	20
4	Nordsjaelland	10	6	0	4	+8	+5.4	18
5	Brondby	10	5	2	3	+5	+5.1	17
6	Viborg	10	5	1	4	+3	-3.2	16
7	Randers FC	10	4	2	4	-2	+0.6	14
8	Odense	10	4	2	4	-4	+4.3	14
9	FC Copenhagen	10	3	4	3	+0	+9.3	13
10	Vejle	10	3	2	5	-1	-2.8	11
11	Silkeborg	10	3	2	5	-4	-2.2	11
12	Fredericia	10	2	2	6	-12	-8.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	10	6	4	0	+10	+1.1	22
2	Midtjylland	10	5	3	2	+11	-1.9	18
3	Brondby	10	5	0	5	+4	+3.8	15
4	FC Copenhagen	10	5	0	5	+2	+4.3	15
5	Viborg	10	4	2	4	+1	+0.7	14
6	Sonderjyske	10	3	3	4	-2	-3.5	12
7	Odense	10	3	3	4	-5	-2.0	12
8	Nordsjaelland	10	4	0	6	-9	-6.7	12
9	Fredericia	10	3	1	6	-9	-10.9	10
10	Randers FC	10	2	3	5	-3	+3.3	9
11	Silkeborg	10	2	2	6	-12	-13.2	8
12	Vejle	10	0	2	8	-17	-9.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.