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Superligaen
Referee: Lasse Laebel Graagaard
Lyngby
U T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Midtjylland
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyngby Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,49 xG 1,05
43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lyngby 12. · Midtjylland 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Brondby 3 2 1 0 +3 -1.7 7
2 Nordsjaelland 3 2 1 0 +2 +6.2 7
3 Viborg 4 2 1 1 +1 +1.3 7
4 FC Copenhagen 2 2 0 0 +3 -0.9 6
5 Midtjylland 2 2 0 0 +2 +1.0 6
6 Randers FC 3 1 1 1 +1 -3.1 4
7 Horsens 4 1 1 2 -2 -2.4 4
8 Silkeborg 4 1 1 2 -2 -1.1 4
9 Odense 4 1 0 3 -2 +0.1 3
10 Aarhus 3 0 2 1 -1 +0.3 2
11 Sonderjyske 3 0 1 2 -2 -2.1 1
12 Lyngby 3 0 1 2 -3 +2.3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lyngby Midtjylland
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Castillo
↦ P. Bravo
46′
🔁 S. Iheanacho
↦ V. Byskov
48′
🟨 Darío Osorio
50′
S. Iheanacho 0–1
D. Beni
O. Hojer 🔁
↦ J. Thomasen
56′
1–1 G. Fraulo
I. Thorvaldsson
59′
68′
🔁 J. Emefile
↦ D. Beni
Renzo Tytens 🟨
72′
F. Gytkjaer 🔁
↦ I. Thorvaldsson
75′
A. Bondergaard 🔁
↦ S. Colyn
75′
77′
🟨 Magnus Jensen
78′
🔁 F. Etim
↦ Franculino
80′
🟨 Philip Billing
Asbjorn Bøndergaard 🟨
84′
D. F. Kristjansson 🔁
↦ R. Tytens
87′
M. Hebo 🔁
↦ G. Fraulo
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lyngby

31 D. Kochen G
2 O. Buur D
30 M. Fischer D
24 M. Garananga D
25 R. Tytens D
19 G. Fraulo M
18 J. Thomasen M
13 Dani M
14 L. Sandgrav M
10 I. Thorvaldsson
7 S. Colyn F
Bench (9)
1 J. Aegidius
6 D. F. Kristjansson
12 D. Aronsson
4 C. Allen
8 M. Hebo
17 W. Steindorsson
5 O. Hojer
26 F. Gytkjaer
16 A. Bondergaard

Midtjylland

3-4-2-1
1 E. Olafsson G
3 M. Jensen D
6 M. Erlic D
22 M. B. Sorensen D
5 R. Kristensen M
8 P. Billing M
19 P. Bravo M
15 D. Beni M
11 D. Osorio F
20 V. Byskov F
7 Franculino F
Bench (9)
25 N. Bakker
13 A. Gabriel
29 K. Watjen
27 S. Johannesen
21 D. Castillo
10 Cho Gue-Sung
18 S. Iheanacho
90 F. Etim
38 J. Emefile

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.