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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Patryk Gryckiewicz

Motor Lublin

U T U T T

1–0

Full-time

GKS Katowice

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin GKS Katowice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,2

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,92 xG 1,10

41% Possession 59%

15 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motor Lublin 17. · GKS Katowice 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	4	3	1	0	+8	+3.9	10
2	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.3	7
3	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.8	6
4	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.6	6
5	Wisla	3	2	0	1	+1	+3.4	6
6	Zaglebie	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.6	6
7	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.8	6
8	Widzew Lodz	4	1	2	1	+1	+1.6	5
9	Korona Kielce	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.5	4
10	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.0	4
11	Slask Wroclaw	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.1	4
12	GKS Katowice	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.3	3
13	Wieczysta Krakow	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.5	3
14	Piast Gliwice	4	1	0	3	-5	-4.3	3
15	Radomiak Radom	4	1	0	3	-8	-2.4	3
16	Cracovia	3	0	2	1	-2	+1.1	2
17	Motor Lublin	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.3	1
18	Rakow	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	2	2	0	0	+7	+2.0	6
2	Zaglebie	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.0	6
3	Wisla	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.8	6
4	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.6	4
5	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.3	4
6	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
7	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.6	3
8	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
9	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
10	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	3
11	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
12	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
13	Wisla Plock	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
14	Widzew Lodz	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.4	1
15	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
16	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.2	0
17	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
18	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.1	4
2	Legia	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
3	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
4	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
5	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.2	3
6	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Wieczysta Krakow	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
8	Wisla Plock	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
9	Korona Kielce	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
10	Cracovia	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.9	2
11	Motor Lublin	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.5	1
12	Wisla	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.6	0
13	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
14	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.5	0
15	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.2	0
16	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
17	Piast Gliwice	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.2	0
18	Radomiak Radom	2	0	0	2	-7	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.