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Pro League

Referee: Kevin van Damme

Lommel United

S S S U U

0–1

Full-time

Charleroi

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lommel United Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,34 xG 1,25

44% Possession 56%

8 Shots 23

0 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 12

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lommel United 13. · Charleroi 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+6	+4.7	6
2	Antwerp	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
3	Charleroi	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.8	6
4	Gent	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.5	6
5	St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.9	4
6	Waregem	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
7	St Truiden	3	0	3	0	+0	-1.6	3
8	Genk	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.4	3
9	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.9	3
10	Beveren	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.9	3
11	Cercle Brugge	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.0	2
12	Standard	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.0	2
13	Lommel United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
14	Lommel SK	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
15	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.3	1
16	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.9	0
17	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.4	0
18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.1	0
19	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.5	3
2	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.8	3
3	Gent	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
4	Genk	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.4	3
5	Waregem	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
6	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
7	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
8	Beveren	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
9	St Truiden	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
10	Cercle Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.1	1
11	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
12	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
13	St. Gilloise	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
14	RAAL La Louviere	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
15	Lommel SK	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
16	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.4	0
17	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
18	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.0	3
2	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.4	3
3	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
4	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
5	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	St Truiden	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
7	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
8	Cercle Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
9	Lommel SK	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
10	Lommel United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
11	Waregem	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
12	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.4	0
13	Genk	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
14	RAAL La Louviere	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.3	0
15	Beveren	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
16	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
17	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.8	0
18	Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
19	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.