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Bundesliga

Referee: Christian-Petru Ciochirca

Tirol

T U T U T

0–3

Full-time

Salzburg

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Salzburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,81 xG 3,47

39% Possession 61%

14 Shots 22

5 Shots on target 12

7 Blocked shots 3

9 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tirol 9. · Salzburg 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	3	3	0	0	+8	+5.9	9
2	Sturm Graz	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.8	7
3	SK Rapid	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.6	6
4	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	1	1	+2	-2.2	4
5	Salzburg	2	1	1	0	+1	+5.8	4
6	A. Lustenau	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
7	Altach	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.6	3
8	Grazer AK	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.4	3
9	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.4	1
10	Ried	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.1	1
11	Hartberg	2	0	0	2	-3	-4.5	0
12	Austria Vienna	2	0	0	2	-5	-5.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.6	6
2	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	1	0	+3	-0.4	4
3	A. Lustenau	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
4	Altach	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
5	Grazer AK	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
6	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.2	3
8	Sturm Graz	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
9	Tirol	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
10	Ried	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
11	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	-2	-3.2	0
12	Hartberg	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.7	4
2	LASK	1	1	0	0	+2	+3.2	3
3	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
4	Salzburg	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.6	1
5	Ried	2	0	1	1	-3	+0.3	1
6	A. Lustenau	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
7	Wolfsberger AC	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
8	Hartberg	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.2	0
9	Tirol	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
10	Altach	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.3	0
11	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
12	Grazer AK	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.