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Superligaen

Referee: Jakob Kehlet

Odense

U T T S T

1–2

Full-time

Horsens

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odense Horsens

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,0

2,3

Scored

0,3

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,37 xG 1,58

58% Possession 42%

16 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Odense 8. · Horsens 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	3	2	1	0	+3	-1.7	7
2	Viborg	4	2	1	1	+1	+1.3	7
3	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.9	6
4	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.0	6
5	Randers FC	3	1	1	1	+1	-3.1	4
6	Nordsjaelland	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.7	4
7	Silkeborg	3	1	1	1	-1	+1.4	4
8	Odense	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.3	3
9	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.3	2
10	Sonderjyske	3	0	1	2	-2	-2.1	1
11	Lyngby	3	0	1	2	-3	+2.3	1
12	Horsens	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viborg	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.7	6
2	Randers FC	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.5	4
3	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
4	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
5	Nordsjaelland	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.6	3
6	Odense	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
7	Brondby	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
8	Silkeborg	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.9	3
9	Lyngby	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
10	Aarhus	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Sonderjyske	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
12	Horsens	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.6	4
2	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.1	3
3	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
4	Silkeborg	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
5	Nordsjaelland	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
6	Aarhus	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
7	Viborg	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.0	1
8	Horsens	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
9	Randers FC	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.6	0
10	Sonderjyske	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
11	Odense	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.1	0
12	Lyngby	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.