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Superligaen
Referee: J Kehlet
Sonderjyske
U T S T T
2–0
Full-time
Brondby
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,3
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
20%
80%
Points per game
0,8
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
80%
20%
Average goals
4,2
2,2
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
2,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,13 xG 1,52
35% Possession 65%
9 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 10
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 11
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sonderjyske 11. · Brondby 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 6 4 1 1 +6 +4.4 13
2 Midtjylland 6 3 3 0 +8 +1.0 12
3 Brondby 5 4 0 1 +5 +3.1 12
4 Fredericia 6 3 1 2 +1 -1.6 10
5 Aarhus 5 2 2 1 +4 +0.4 8
6 Odense 6 2 2 2 -5 +2.4 8
7 Randers FC 6 2 1 3 -2 -2.4 7
8 Viborg 5 2 0 3 -1 -3.3 6
9 Silkeborg 6 2 0 4 -5 +2.3 6
10 Vejle 5 1 1 3 -1 -2.2 4
11 Sonderjyske 5 1 1 3 -5 -2.9 4
12 Nordsjaelland 5 1 0 4 -5 -1.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sonderjyske Brondby
39′
🟨 Mats Köhlert
Half-time 0–0
Tobias Sommer 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 M. Divkovic
↦ M. Kohlert
1–0 D. L. Gretarsson
48′
55′
🟨 Luis Binks
60′
🟨 Michael Gregoritsch
S. Emini 🔁
↦ R. Vinderslev
61′
M. Cherif 🔁
↦ M. Hoppe
61′
61′
🔁 N. Vallys
↦ M. Gregoritsch
61′
🔁 J. Vanlerberghe
↦ F. Alves
61′
🔁 N. Nartey
↦ B. Tahirovic
L. Qamili 🔁
↦ K. M. Ingason
70′
O. Hyseni 🔁
↦ A. Lyng
70′
D. Wilkins 🔁
↦ D. L. Gretarsson
79′
2–0 L. Qamili
M. Bundgaard
81′
85′
🔁 D. Wass
↦ F. Bundgaard
Dalton Wilkins 🟨
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sonderjyske

4-1-4-1
16 M. Bundgaard G
22 A. Oggesen D
5 M. Jensen D
12 M. Soulas D
4 D. L. Gretarsson D
6 R. Vinderslev M
25 M. Agger M
26 T. Sommer M
10 K. M. Ingason M
11 A. Lyng M
14 M. Hoppe F
Bench (9)
1 N. Flo
2 M. Olsen
3 S. Waever
7 S. Emini
8 L. Bjorklund
13 D. Wilkins
15 L. Qamili
24 O. Hyseni
31 M. Cherif

Coach: Thomas Norgaard

Brondby

3-4-3
1 P. Pentz G
32 F. Alves D
5 R. Lauritsen D
4 L. Binks D
2 O. Villadsen M
8 B. Tahirovic M
6 S. Spierings M
27 M. Kohlert M
11 F. Bundgaard F
9 M. Gregoritsch F
37 C. Bischoff F
Bench (9)
7 N. Vallys
10 D. Wass
13 G. Beavers
19 S. Fukuda
24 M. Divkovic
30 J. Vanlerberghe
35 N. Nartey
38 J. Ambaek
42 M. Jensen

Coach: Steven Cooper

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Kehlet · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.