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Superligaen

Referee: J Kehlet

Sonderjyske

S T T T U

2–2

Full-time

Brondby

T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Brondby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

4,3

2,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

67%

53%

Both score Ø 60%

67%

53%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

1,1

1,9

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,19 xG 1,54

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sonderjyske 10. · Brondby 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	16	7	6	3	+13	+2.9	27
2	Randers FC	16	7	6	3	+11	+8.1	27
3	FC Copenhagen	15	7	6	2	+10	+9.5	27
4	Midtjylland	15	8	3	4	+5	+4.3	27
5	Nordsjaelland	16	7	5	4	+3	+4.9	26
6	Silkeborg	15	6	7	2	+7	-1.4	25
7	Brondby	15	6	5	4	+8	+7.3	23
8	Viborg	16	5	6	5	+3	-1.0	21
9	Aalborg	16	4	5	7	-12	-10.9	17
10	Sonderjyske	15	3	3	9	-18	-10.9	12
11	Lyngby	15	1	7	7	-9	-2.8	10
12	Vejle	16	1	3	12	-21	-10.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	9	5	4	0	+12	+3.3	19
2	Nordsjaelland	9	5	4	0	+9	+5.0	19
3	Midtjylland	7	6	0	1	+6	+5.2	18
4	FC Copenhagen	7	4	3	0	+7	+6.4	15
5	Silkeborg	8	4	3	1	+4	+0.1	15
6	Randers FC	8	4	2	2	+6	+6.0	14
7	Viborg	7	4	2	1	+4	-0.7	14
8	Brondby	7	3	3	1	+4	+3.0	12
9	Aalborg	8	3	2	3	-5	-4.4	11
10	Sonderjyske	7	2	2	3	-6	-5.6	8
11	Lyngby	8	1	4	3	-4	+0.4	7
12	Vejle	8	1	2	5	-8	-2.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	8	3	4	1	+5	+2.1	13
2	FC Copenhagen	8	3	3	2	+3	+3.1	12
3	Brondby	8	3	2	3	+4	+4.3	11
4	Silkeborg	7	2	4	1	+3	-1.5	10
5	Midtjylland	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.9	9
6	Aarhus	7	2	2	3	+1	-0.4	8
7	Viborg	9	1	4	4	-1	-0.3	7
8	Nordsjaelland	7	2	1	4	-6	-0.0	7
9	Aalborg	8	1	3	4	-7	-6.4	6
10	Sonderjyske	8	1	1	6	-12	-5.2	4
11	Lyngby	7	0	3	4	-5	-3.1	3
12	Vejle	8	0	1	7	-13	-8.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.