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Allsvenskan

Varberg

U S T S T

1–0

Full-time

Mjallby

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Mjallby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

This season — Allsvenskan · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

43%

57%

Points per game

1,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Varberg 7. · Mjallby 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norrkoping	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	Djurgarden	8	4	1	3	+4	13
3	Elfsborg	7	3	4	0	+3	13
4	Mjallby	7	4	1	2	+2	13
5	Sirius	8	3	3	2	+1	12
6	AIK	8	3	2	3	-1	11
7	Varberg	7	3	1	3	+3	10
8	Malmo FF	7	2	4	1	+2	10
9	Hacken	7	2	4	1	+2	10
10	Orebro	7	2	3	2	-1	9
11	Goteborg	8	2	3	3	-2	9
12	Hammarby	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Ostersunds	7	2	1	4	-5	7
14	Kalmar	7	2	0	5	-3	6
15	Helsingborg	8	1	3	4	-7	6
16	Falkenbergs	8	1	2	5	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norrkoping	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Malmo FF	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+5	7
4	Hacken	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Hammarby	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Varberg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Mjallby	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Elfsborg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Sirius	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Goteborg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Orebro	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	AIK	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Helsingborg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Kalmar	3	1	0	2	+2	3
15	Falkenbergs	4	0	1	3	-4	1
16	Ostersunds	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elfsborg	4	2	2	0	+2	8
2	Norrkoping	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Sirius	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Mjallby	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Ostersunds	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	AIK	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Djurgarden	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Varberg	4	1	1	2	+1	4
9	Orebro	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Goteborg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Falkenbergs	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Hacken	4	0	3	1	-2	3
13	Kalmar	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Malmo FF	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Helsingborg	4	0	2	2	-5	2
16	Hammarby	3	0	1	2	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.