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Serie A

Referee: A Giua

Spal

T U T T T

0–4

Full-time

Inter

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,8

4,3

Scored

0,5

2,8

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+1,3

This season — Serie A · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 40%

16%

63%

Points per game

0,6

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

53%

69%

Both score Ø 60%

50%

69%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

0,7

2,1

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%

8 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

0 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spal 20. · Inter 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	33	24	5	4	+35	77
2	Atalanta	33	21	7	5	+50	70
3	Lazio	33	21	6	6	+33	69
4	Inter	32	20	8	4	+34	68
5	Roma	33	17	6	10	+17	57
6	Napoli	33	15	8	10	+9	53
7	Milan	33	15	8	10	+6	53
8	Sassuolo	33	13	8	12	+5	47
9	Verona	33	11	11	11	+0	44
10	Bologna	33	11	10	12	-5	43
11	Cagliari	33	10	11	12	-1	41
12	Parma	33	11	7	15	-2	40
13	Fiorentina	33	9	12	12	-4	39
14	Sampdoria	33	11	5	17	-12	38
15	Torino	33	11	4	18	-19	37
16	Udinese	33	9	9	15	-15	36
17	Genoa	33	7	9	17	-23	30
18	Lecce	33	7	8	18	-33	29
19	Brescia	33	5	6	22	-40	21
20	Spal	32	5	4	23	-35	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	16	14	2	0	+28	44
2	Lazio	17	12	3	2	+26	39
3	Atalanta	17	11	2	4	+26	35
4	Inter	17	10	5	2	+21	35
5	Roma	17	9	3	5	+8	30
6	Verona	16	8	4	4	+5	28
7	Milan	16	7	5	4	+4	26
8	Sassuolo	16	7	3	6	+8	24
9	Napoli	16	7	3	6	+2	24
10	Torino	17	7	3	7	-6	24
11	Sampdoria	17	6	4	7	-1	22
12	Cagliari	16	6	3	7	+3	21
13	Udinese	17	5	6	6	-5	21
14	Parma	16	6	2	8	+3	20
15	Bologna	17	4	7	6	-5	19
16	Fiorentina	17	3	8	6	-6	17
17	Genoa	16	5	1	10	-8	16
18	Lecce	17	3	5	9	-12	14
19	Brescia	16	2	4	10	-13	10
20	Spal	15	2	3	10	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	16	10	5	1	+24	35
2	Inter	15	10	3	2	+13	33
3	Juventus	17	10	3	4	+7	33
4	Lazio	16	9	3	4	+7	30
5	Napoli	17	8	5	4	+7	29
6	Roma	16	8	3	5	+9	27
7	Milan	17	8	3	6	+2	27
8	Bologna	16	7	3	6	+0	24
9	Sassuolo	17	6	5	6	-3	23
10	Fiorentina	16	6	4	6	+2	22
11	Cagliari	17	4	8	5	-4	20
12	Parma	17	5	5	7	-5	20
13	Verona	17	3	7	7	-5	16
14	Sampdoria	16	5	1	10	-11	16
15	Udinese	16	4	3	9	-10	15
16	Lecce	16	4	3	9	-21	15
17	Genoa	17	2	8	7	-15	14
18	Torino	16	4	1	11	-13	13
19	Brescia	17	3	2	12	-27	11
20	Spal	17	3	1	13	-22	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.