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Allsvenskan
Elfsborg
U U S S T
1–0
Full-time
Djurgarden
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
This season — Allsvenskan · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
38%
63%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Elfsborg 8. · Djurgarden 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norrkoping 9 6 2 1 +11 20
2 Malmo FF 9 4 4 1 +4 16
3 Sirius 9 4 3 2 +3 15
4 Varberg 9 4 2 3 +4 14
5 Hacken 8 3 4 1 +8 13
6 Djurgarden 8 4 1 3 +4 13
7 Mjallby 8 4 1 3 +1 13
8 Elfsborg 8 3 4 1 -3 13
9 AIK 9 3 3 3 -1 12
10 Hammarby 8 3 2 3 -2 11
11 Goteborg 8 2 3 3 -2 9
12 Orebro 8 2 3 3 -3 9
13 Ostersunds 8 2 1 5 -6 7
14 Kalmar 9 2 0 7 -5 6
15 Helsingborg 8 1 3 4 -7 6
16 Falkenbergs 8 1 2 5 -6 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.