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Allsvenskan

Elfsborg

S S T S S

3–3

Full-time

Varberg

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Allsvenskan · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 45%

50%

40%

Points per game

1,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Elfsborg 3. · Varberg 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norrkoping	10	7	2	1	+13	23
2	Malmo FF	10	5	4	1	+7	19
3	Elfsborg	10	5	4	1	+3	19
4	Hacken	10	4	5	1	+12	17
5	Sirius	10	4	4	2	+3	16
6	Djurgarden	10	4	2	4	+3	14
7	Varberg	10	4	2	4	+2	14
8	Orebro	10	3	4	3	-1	13
9	Mjallby	10	4	1	5	-6	13
10	AIK	10	3	3	4	-5	12
11	Hammarby	10	3	3	4	-5	12
12	Goteborg	10	2	5	3	-2	11
13	Ostersunds	10	2	3	5	-6	9
14	Helsingborg	10	1	5	4	-7	8
15	Kalmar	10	2	1	7	-5	7
16	Falkenbergs	10	1	4	5	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norrkoping	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Malmo FF	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Hacken	5	4	1	0	+14	13
4	Varberg	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Djurgarden	5	2	2	1	+5	8
6	Elfsborg	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Sirius	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Orebro	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Hammarby	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Goteborg	6	1	3	2	-1	6
11	Mjallby	4	2	0	2	-3	6
12	AIK	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Helsingborg	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Kalmar	5	1	1	3	+1	4
15	Falkenbergs	5	0	2	3	-4	2
16	Ostersunds	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elfsborg	6	3	2	1	+1	11
2	Sirius	5	2	2	1	+2	8
3	Ostersunds	5	2	2	1	+0	8
4	Norrkoping	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	AIK	6	2	1	3	-3	7
6	Mjallby	6	2	1	3	-3	7
7	Djurgarden	5	2	0	3	-2	6
8	Malmo FF	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Goteborg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Falkenbergs	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Orebro	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Varberg	5	1	1	3	-1	4
13	Hacken	5	0	4	1	-2	4
14	Hammarby	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Helsingborg	5	0	3	2	-5	3
16	Kalmar	5	1	0	4	-6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.