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Allsvenskan

Sirius

S S T T U

2–4

Full-time

Elfsborg

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Elfsborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

40%

80%

Average goals

2,2

3,4

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Allsvenskan · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

40%

80%

Average goals

2,2

3,4

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sirius 8. · Elfsborg 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Malmo FF	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Elfsborg	5	2	2	1	+1	8
4	AIK	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Ostersunds	5	2	2	1	+0	8
6	Goteborg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Hacken	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Sirius	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Helsingborg	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Norrkoping	5	1	3	1	-1	6
11	Kalmar	5	1	3	1	-1	6
12	Sundsvall	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Hammarby	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	AFC Eskilstuna	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Falkenbergs	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Orebro	5	1	1	3	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Elfsborg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Helsingborg	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	AIK	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Djurgarden	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Hammarby	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	AFC Eskilstuna	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Ostersunds	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Norrkoping	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Falkenbergs	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Sirius	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Hacken	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Orebro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Kalmar	3	0	2	1	-2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Hacken	3	1	1	1	+2	4
3	Sirius	3	1	1	1	+1	4
4	Kalmar	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Ostersunds	3	1	1	1	-1	4
6	Malmo FF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Norrkoping	3	0	2	1	-2	2
8	Sundsvall	3	0	2	1	-2	2
9	AIK	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Orebro	3	0	1	2	-3	1
11	Goteborg	3	0	1	2	-3	1
12	Elfsborg	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Hammarby	3	0	1	2	-4	1
14	Falkenbergs	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	AFC Eskilstuna	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Helsingborg	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.