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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
Antwerp
S S U U T
1–0
Full-time
Gent
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

6 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 6
10 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 14. · Gent 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Charleroi 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Standard 3 3 0 0 +3 9
3 Mechelen 4 2 1 1 +1 7
4 Waregem 4 2 0 2 +3 6
5 Beerschot VA 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Cercle Brugge 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Anderlecht 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Genk 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Kortrijk 4 1 1 2 -3 4
10 Club Brugge 2 1 0 1 +3 3
11 St Truiden 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Waasland-Beveren 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Beveren 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Antwerp 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 0 2 1 -2 2
16 Eupen 3 0 2 1 -4 2
17 Mouscron 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Gent 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Oostende 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Gent
1–0 D. Mbokani
F. Haroun
17′
Dylan Batubinsika 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 Sven Kums
Nill De Pauw 🟨
60′
74′
🔁 L. Depoitre
↦ R. Yaremchuk
S. Juklerød 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
75′
77′
🔁 A. Niangbo
↦ R. Bezus
M. Hongla Yma 🔁
↦ P. Gerkens
81′
84′
🔁 B. Dejaegere
↦ N. Dorsch
J. Pius 🔁
↦ B. Verstraete
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Antwerp

3-5-2
46 J. Butez G
2 R. De Laet D
21 D. Batubinsika D
4 A. Seck D
14 N. De Pauw F
38 F. Haroun M
11 L. Refaelov M
16 P. Gerkens M
5 B. Verstraete M
70 D. Mbokani F
7 D. Lamkel Zé F
Bench (7)
6 S. Juklerød
18 M. Hongla Yma
40 J. Pius
19 K. Miyoshi
28 B. Manuel
1 A. Beiranvand
22 B. Nsimba

Coach: I. Leko

Gent

4-3-1-2
33 D. Roef G
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
14 A. Castro-Montes D
24 S. Kums M
9 R. Bezus M
17 J. Botaka F
30 N. Dorsch M
6 E. Owusu M
7 R. Yaremchuk F
34 T. Kleindienst F
Bench (7)
29 L. Depoitre
11 A. Niangbo
19 B. Dejaegere
15 M. Mohammadi
26 C. Coosemans
36 D. Arslanagić
22 S. Marreh

Coach: L. Bölöni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,64
U
3,34
B
2,59
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.