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Allsvenskan
Referee: M Al Hakim
Malmo FF
U S U S U
3–0
Full-time
AIK
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF AIK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
This season — Allsvenskan · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malmo FF 7. · AIK 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hammarby 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Hacken 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Djurgarden 3 2 0 1 +2 6
4 Goteborg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Mjallby 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Varberg 3 2 0 1 +0 6
7 Malmo FF 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Sirius 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Kalmar 2 1 0 1 +2 3
10 AIK 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Varnamo 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Elfsborg 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Helsingborg 2 0 0 2 -2 0
14 Degerfors 2 0 0 2 -3 0
15 Norrkoping 3 0 0 3 -3 0
16 Sundsvall 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF AIK
1–0 I. Kiese Thelin
3′
26′
🟨 Jesper Ceesay
O. Toivonen 🔁
↦ E. Rakip
42′
Half-time 1–0
51′
🟨 Axel Bjornström
2–0 O. Toivonen
M. Olsson
52′
55′
🔁 Z. Elbouzedi
↦ A. Björnström
56′
🔁 Y. Ayari
↦ J. Ceesay
S. Nanasi 🔁
↦ V. Birmančević
60′
64′
🔁 B. Mbunga-Kimpioka
↦ N. Stefanelli
65′
🔁 J. Mendes
↦ M. Lustig
Jo Inge Berget 🟨
77′
77′
🟨 Erick Otieno
3–0 I. Kiese Thelin
A. Christiansen
79′
81′
🔁 E. Ring
↦ N. Bahoui
H. Larsson 🔁
↦ O. Lewicki
84′
A. Nalić 🔁
↦ J. Berget
84′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-3-3
27 J. Dahlin G
13 M. Olsson D
24 L. Nielsen D
21 D. Hadžikadunić D
14 F. Beijmo D
10 A. Christiansen M
32 J. Berget F
6 O. Lewicki M
7 E. Rakip M
19 V. Birmančević F
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
Bench (7)
11 O. Toivonen
37 S. Nanasi
31 H. Larsson
22 A. Nalić
2 E. Larsson
30 I. Diawara
23 M. Chaluš

Coach: M. Milojević

AIK

4-2-3-1
15 K. Nordfeldt G
33 M. Lustig D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
5 A. Milošević D
12 A. Björnström D
25 E. Otieno M
7 S. Larsson M
10 N. Bahoui M
24 J. Ceesay M
9 N. Stefanelli M
19 J. Larsson F
Bench (7)
20 Z. Elbouzedi
26 Y. Ayari
22 B. Mbunga-Kimpioka
2 J. Mendes
34 E. Ring
23 B. Janošević
3 P. Karlsson

Coach: B. Grzelak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.