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Ligue 1
Referee: B Dechepy
Nantes
S T T S U
1–1
Full-time
Angers
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 34%
42%
26%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
35%
45%
Both score Ø 53%
48%
58%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
24 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
14 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nantes 10. · Angers 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 31 22 5 4 +41 71
2 Marseille 31 17 8 6 +22 59
3 Rennes 32 17 5 10 +35 56
4 Nice 32 16 7 9 +14 55
5 Monaco 32 15 8 9 +16 53
6 Strasbourg 31 14 10 7 +19 52
7 Lens 32 14 8 10 +9 50
8 Lille 32 12 12 8 +2 48
9 Lyon 31 12 11 8 +4 47
10 Nantes 31 13 7 11 +6 46
11 Montpellier 31 12 5 14 +0 41
12 Brest 32 10 9 13 -7 39
13 Reims 31 8 12 11 -1 36
14 Angers 31 8 9 14 -10 33
15 Troyes 31 8 8 15 -15 32
16 Lorient 32 7 10 15 -20 31
17 St Etienne 32 7 9 16 -27 30
18 Clermont 31 7 7 17 -29 28
19 Bordeaux 31 5 11 15 -30 26
20 Metz 31 4 11 16 -29 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Angers
18′
S. Boufal 0–1
A. Ounahi
W. Cyprien 🔁
↦ Chirivella
37′
Half-time 0–1
Alban Lafont 🟨
50′
50′
🟨 Romain Thomas
1–1 K. Coulibaly
Fábio
53′
S. Corchia 🔁
↦ Fábio
69′
J. Augustin 🔁
↦ K. Coulibaly
69′
Ludovic Blas 🟨
70′
76′
🔁 M. Cho
↦ A. Fulgini
77′
🔁 T. Mangani
↦ B. Mendy
83′
🔁 C. Ninga
↦ S. Boufal
83′
🔁 V. Manceau
↦ P. Capelle
O. Bukari 🔁
↦ M. Simon
86′
W. Geubbels 🔁
↦ J. Castelletto
86′
Andrei Girotto 🟨
90′
Nicolas Pallois 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nantes

4-2-3-1
1 A. Lafont G
2 Fábio D
4 N. Pallois D
21 J. Castelletto D
3 Andrei Girotto M
5 Chirivella M
10 L. Blas M
29 Q. Merlin D
7 K. Coulibaly F
27 M. Simon M
23 R. Kolo Muani M
Bench (9)
8 W. Cyprien
24 S. Corchia
20 J. Augustin
26 O. Bukari
19 W. Geubbels
18 S. Moutoussamy
12 D. Appiah
11 M. Coco
30 D. Petrić

Coach: A. Kombouare

Angers

3-5-2
16 A. Mandrea G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
25 A. Bamba M
6 E. Ebosse D
2 B. Mendy M
15 P. Capelle M
23 N. Bentaleb M
7 S. Boufal F
10 A. Fulgini F
18 A. Ounahi M
Bench (9)
21 M. Cho
5 T. Mangani
9 C. Ninga
29 V. Manceau
26 W. Taibi
33 A. Kalla
22 M. Jakoliš
30 D. Petković
34 Y. Belkdim

Coach: G. Baticle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,96
U ✓
3,44
B
4,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Dechepy · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.