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La Liga
Referee: Valentín Pizarro
Granada
T T S U T
1–4
Full-time
Levante
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 16%
19%
13%
Points per game
0,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 57%
61%
52%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 16. · Levante 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 31 22 6 3 +37 72
2 Barcelona 30 17 9 4 +29 60
3 Sevilla 31 16 12 3 +22 60
4 Ath Madrid 31 17 6 8 +19 57
5 Betis 32 17 6 9 +19 57
6 Sociedad 32 15 10 7 +2 55
7 Villarreal 32 13 10 9 +20 49
8 Ath Bilbao 31 11 12 8 +6 45
9 Osasuna 32 12 8 12 -8 44
10 Valencia 32 10 12 10 -2 42
11 Espanol 31 10 9 12 -6 39
12 Celta 31 9 9 13 -1 36
13 Elche 32 9 8 15 -9 35
14 Vallecano 31 9 7 15 -6 34
15 Getafe 32 7 11 14 -8 32
16 Granada 31 6 11 14 -17 29
17 Mallorca 32 7 8 17 -26 29
18 Cadiz 31 5 13 13 -17 28
19 Alaves 32 6 7 19 -28 25
20 Levante 31 4 10 17 -26 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Levante
17′
Dani Gómez 0–1
Morales
Víctor Díaz 🟨
35′
40′
🟨 Nemanja Radoja
Germán Sánchez 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
Álex Collado 🔁
↦ Víctor Díaz
46′
46′
🔁 Marc Pubill
↦ Miramón
53′
ℹ️ José Luis Morales
VAR: Penalty awarded
Germán Sánchez 🟨
54′
Germán Sánchez 🟥
54′
56′
Morales 0–2
63′
🔁 Ó. Duarte
↦ Postigo
63′
🔁 M. Malsa
↦ N. Radoja
68′
🔁 Cantero
↦ Dani Gómez
Njegoš Petrović 🟨
69′
Montoro 🔁
↦ Luis Milla
70′
M. Uzuni 🔁
↦ Antonio Puertas
70′
Darwin Machís 🟨
74′
77′
M. Malsa 0–3
Morales
79′
🟨 Dani Cárdenas
M. Arezo 🔁
↦ Jorge Molina
80′
Ismael Ruiz 🔁
↦ N. Petrović
80′
80′
🔁 Soldado
↦ Morales
1–3 Álex Collado
D. Machís
92′
95′
Soldado 1–4
Marc Pubill
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Granada

5-3-2
1 Luís Maximiano G
16 Víctor Díaz D
3 Escudero D
6 Germán Sánchez D
17 Quini D
22 Domingos Duarte D
10 Antonio Puertas M
5 Luis Milla M
18 N. Petrović M
23 Jorge Molina F
11 D. Machís F
Bench (10)
35 Álex Collado
19 Montoro
24 M. Uzuni
14 M. Arezo
26 Ismael Ruiz
27 Pepe Sánchez
12 Dani Raba
20 C. Bacca
8 Y. Eteki
13 Aarón Escandell

Coach: Rubén Torrecilla

Levante

5-3-2
34 Dani Cárdenas G
15 Postigo D
20 Miramón D
14 Rúben Vezo D
2 Son D
4 Rober D
5 N. Radoja M
11 Morales F
22 Melero M
8 Pepelu M
21 Dani Gómez F
Bench (12)
42 Marc Pubill
6 Ó. Duarte
12 M. Malsa
29 Cantero
16 Soldado
17 N. Vukčević
10 E. Bardhi
25 M. Saracchi
1 Aitor Fernández
37 Pablo Cuñat
23 Coke
3 Enric Franquesa

Coach: A. Lisci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,36
U
3,55
B ✓
2,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,96
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Valentín Pizarro · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.