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Super League

Referee: Miguel Garcia Godinho

Aris Thessalonikis

S T U U S

1–0

Full-time

PAOK

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,8

1,7

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Super League · 30/32 matches

Win Ø 52%

47%

56%

Points per game

1,7

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

33%

44%

Both score Ø 37%

30%

44%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

0,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

16 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 7. · PAOK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	32	23	7	2	+35	76
2	PAOK	32	18	6	8	+25	60
3	Aris	31	15	8	8	+8	53
4	Panathinaikos	33	15	7	11	+22	52
5	AEK	33	15	6	12	+11	51
6	Giannina	33	13	11	9	+10	50
7	Aris Thessalonikis	30	14	8	8	+7	50
8	OFI Crete	32	10	13	9	+0	43
9	Asteras Tripolis	32	11	7	14	-4	40
10	Ionikos	32	10	9	13	-5	39
11	Volos NFC	32	10	8	14	-5	38
12	Panetolikos	32	9	6	17	-21	33
13	Atromitos	32	8	7	17	-23	31
14	Lamia	32	5	7	20	-23	22
15	Apollon	32	4	10	18	-37	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	17	14	3	0	+22	45
2	Panathinaikos	16	11	3	2	+24	36
3	PAOK	15	9	3	3	+12	30
4	Aris	16	8	6	2	+6	30
5	Giannina	16	8	5	3	+7	29
6	AEK	17	9	1	7	+9	28
7	Aris Thessalonikis	15	7	6	2	+5	27
8	Asteras Tripolis	16	7	2	7	+1	23
9	OFI Crete	16	5	6	5	-1	21
10	Atromitos	16	6	3	7	-3	21
11	Ionikos	15	5	5	5	+1	20
12	Volos NFC	16	6	2	8	-3	20
13	Panetolikos	17	4	4	9	-8	16
14	Apollon	16	2	8	6	-11	14
15	Lamia	16	2	3	11	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	15	9	4	2	+13	31
2	PAOK	17	9	3	5	+13	30
3	AEK	16	6	5	5	+2	23
4	Aris Thessalonikis	15	7	2	6	+2	23
5	Aris	15	7	2	6	+2	23
6	OFI Crete	16	5	7	4	+1	22
7	Giannina	17	5	6	6	+3	21
8	Ionikos	17	5	4	8	-6	19
9	Volos NFC	16	4	6	6	-2	18
10	Asteras Tripolis	16	4	5	7	-5	17
11	Panetolikos	15	5	2	8	-13	17
12	Panathinaikos	17	4	4	9	-2	16
13	Lamia	16	3	4	9	-10	13
14	Atromitos	16	2	4	10	-20	10
15	Apollon	16	2	2	12	-26	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.