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Allsvenskan

Referee: K Karlsson

Varnamo

U T U S T

1–2

Full-time

Hacken

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Hacken

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

This season — Allsvenskan · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 8

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 14. · Hacken 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	7	5	1	1	+9	16
2	Malmo FF	7	4	3	0	+7	15
3	AIK	7	5	0	2	+1	15
4	Mjallby	7	4	1	2	+3	13
5	Kalmar	7	4	0	3	+5	12
6	Djurgarden	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Hacken	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	Elfsborg	6	3	1	2	+8	10
9	Goteborg	7	3	1	3	+1	10
10	Sirius	7	3	1	3	-6	10
11	Norrkoping	6	2	1	3	+0	7
12	Varberg	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Helsingborg	7	1	2	4	-3	5
14	Varnamo	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Sundsvall	6	1	0	5	-10	3
16	Degerfors	6	0	0	6	-14	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AIK	4	4	0	0	+4	12
2	Djurgarden	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Malmo FF	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Mjallby	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Hammarby	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Elfsborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Hacken	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Kalmar	4	2	0	2	+2	6
9	Sirius	3	2	0	1	-1	6
10	Varnamo	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Norrkoping	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Goteborg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Helsingborg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Varberg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Sundsvall	3	1	0	2	-5	3
16	Degerfors	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	4	3	0	1	+6	9
2	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Goteborg	4	2	0	2	+1	6
4	Hacken	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Malmo FF	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Elfsborg	3	1	1	1	+5	4
7	Mjallby	4	1	1	2	-2	4
8	Sirius	4	1	1	2	-5	4
9	Norrkoping	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Varberg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	AIK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Djurgarden	3	0	1	2	-2	1
13	Helsingborg	4	0	1	3	-3	1
14	Sundsvall	3	0	0	3	-5	0
15	Varnamo	3	0	0	3	-6	0
16	Degerfors	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.