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Allsvenskan
Referee: M Al Hakim
Sirius
U U T U U
3–4
Full-time
Elfsborg
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,7
This season — Allsvenskan · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

63% Possession 37%
15 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sirius 13. · Elfsborg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 7 7 0 0 +16 21
2 Hacken 7 5 0 2 +9 15
3 Elfsborg 6 4 1 1 +10 13
4 Kalmar 6 3 2 1 +5 11
5 Norrkoping 6 3 2 1 +3 11
6 Brommapojkarna 6 3 0 3 -3 9
7 Halmstad 7 3 0 4 -7 9
8 Mjallby 6 2 2 2 +0 8
9 Djurgarden 6 2 1 3 -3 7
10 Varnamo 6 2 0 4 -3 6
11 Hammarby 6 2 0 4 -4 6
12 Degerfors 6 2 0 4 -8 6
13 Sirius 6 0 5 1 -3 5
14 AIK 7 1 2 4 -5 5
15 Goteborg 6 1 1 4 +1 4
16 Varberg 6 0 4 2 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sirius Elfsborg
14′
🟨 Noah Söderberg
18′
S. Guðjohnsen 0–1
J. Ondrejka
1–1 A. Bjarnason
J. Roche
32′
42′
🟨 Michael Baidoo
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 B. Zeneli
↦ N. Söderberg
2–1 A. Alsanati
47′
52′
M. Mathisen 3–1
own goal
4–1 M. Heier
55′
56′
🔁 J. Cooper
↦ S. Guðjohnsen
56′
🔁 A. Qasem
↦ J. Okkels
Aron Bjarnason 🟨
61′
65′
🟨 Besfort Zeneli
J. Persson 🔁
↦ A. Alsanati
65′
77′
🔁 G. Lagerbielke
↦ I. Buhari
77′
🔁 T. Ouma
↦ A. Rømer
M. Jeng 🔁
↦ T. Matthews
78′
E. Özkan 🔁
↦ M. Heier
84′
A. Wikman 🔁
↦ M. Kaastrup
84′
87′
J. Cooper 4–2
J. Ondrejka
89′
J. Larsson 4–3
90′
🟨 Ahmed Qasem
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Sirius

4-2-3-1
30 J. Tånnander G
14 A. Bjarnason D
13 J. Voelkerling Persson D
6 M. Mathisen D
21 D. Widgren D
5 J. Roche M
8 D. Stensson M
22 A. Alsanati M
19 M. Heier M
28 M. Kaastrup M
7 T. Matthews F
Bench (7)
20 J. Persson
31 M. Jeng
27 E. Özkan
18 A. Wikman
36 A. Ljungberg
23 E. Sylisufaj
35 H. Sveijer

Coach: C. Mattiasson

Elfsborg

4-2-3-1
30 H. Valdimarsson G
13 J. Larsson D
8 S. Holmén D
29 I. Buhari D
23 N. Hult D
28 N. Söderberg M
6 A. Rømer M
7 J. Ondrejka M
10 M. Baidoo M
19 J. Okkels M
11 S. Guðjohnsen F
Bench (9)
27 B. Zeneli
25 J. Cooper
18 A. Qasem
2 G. Lagerbielke
16 T. Ouma
4 G. Henriksson
21 A. Boman
22 K. Holmén
31 T. Rönning

Coach: J. Thelin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.