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Allsvenskan
Referee: R Sundell
2–1
Full-time
Varberg
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brommapojkarna Varberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-2,0
This season — Allsvenskan · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,6
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,3
0,6
Conceded
1,4
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%
18 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brommapojkarna 5. · Varberg 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 8 8 0 0 +17 24
2 Elfsborg 8 6 1 1 +13 19
3 Hacken 8 6 0 2 +14 18
4 Norrkoping 8 5 2 1 +7 17
5 Brommapojkarna 8 4 1 3 -1 13
6 Mjallby 8 3 3 2 +3 12
7 Kalmar 8 3 2 3 +1 11
8 Djurgarden 8 3 1 4 -2 10
9 Hammarby 8 3 1 4 -3 10
10 Varnamo 8 3 0 5 -3 9
11 Halmstad 8 3 0 5 -8 9
12 Degerfors 9 3 0 6 -14 9
13 Goteborg 8 1 3 4 +1 6
14 AIK 9 1 3 5 -6 6
15 Sirius 8 0 5 3 -7 5
16 Varberg 8 0 4 4 -12 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brommapojkarna Varberg
1–0 T. Waker
T. Heggem
13′
2–0 N. Vasić
A. Jensen
26′
Nikola Vasic 🟨
31′
Half-time 2–0
M. Ćosić 🔁
↦ S. Kroon
46′
59′
🔁 V. Karlsson
↦ Vinícius Nogueira
59′
🔁 D. Krasniqi
↦ O. Silverholt
59′
🔁 M. Sainte
↦ O. Alfonsi
59′
🔁 Filipe Sissé
↦ Y. El Ouatki
65′
D. Krasniqi 2–1
74′
🟨 Maxime Anne Marie Sainte
K. Ackermann 🔁
↦ O. Pettersson
76′
R. Omorowa 🔁
↦ N. Vasić
76′
82′
🔁 J. Lindner
↦ L. Le Roux
F. Nissen 🔁
↦ A. Abrahamsson
86′
G. Sandberg Magnusson 🔁
↦ L. Fritzson
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Brommapojkarna

4-4-2
20 F. Sidklev G
17 A. Jensen D
3 A. Abrahamsson D
4 A. Sögaard D
2 T. Heggem D
13 L. Fritzson M
15 S. Leach Holm M
23 T. Waker M
7 O. Pettersson M
9 N. Vasić F
21 S. Kroon F
Bench (9)
10 M. Ćosić
24 K. Ackermann
19 R. Omorowa
14 F. Nissen
6 G. Sandberg Magnusson
5 V. Agardius
1 O. Linnér
8 L. Jordan
26 A. Calisir

Coach: A. Engelmark

Varberg

5-4-1
43 S. Lukić G
20 O. Silverholt D
3 H. Zackrisson D
4 O. Stanisic D
38 Ó. Sverrisson D
5 Vinícius Nogueira D
14 O. Alfonsi M
8 L. Le Roux M
11 Eliton Júnior M
39 Y. El Ouatki M
7 R. Tranberg F
Bench (9)
21 V. Karlsson
37 D. Krasniqi
45 M. Sainte
6 Filipe Sissé
18 J. Lindner
22 L. Frigell Jansson
40 N. Dahlström
30 J. Sundström
29 F. Andersson

Coach: J. Persson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Sundell · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.