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Allsvenskan
Referee: B Pandzic
Goteborg
S U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Varberg
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Varberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Allsvenskan · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
29%
29%
Both score Ø 29%
43%
14%
Average goals
1,9
1,9
Scored
1,0
0,6
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 23
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Goteborg 10. · Varberg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AIK 9 6 1 2 +3 19
2 Hammarby 8 5 2 1 +9 17
3 Hacken 8 5 2 1 +6 17
4 Malmo FF 8 4 3 1 +5 15
5 Mjallby 8 4 2 2 +3 14
6 Sirius 8 4 1 3 -4 13
7 Djurgarden 8 3 3 2 +5 12
8 Kalmar 8 4 0 4 +3 12
9 Elfsborg 8 3 2 3 +6 11
10 Goteborg 7 3 1 3 +1 10
11 Norrkoping 7 3 1 3 +1 10
12 Varberg 7 2 1 4 -5 7
13 Varnamo 8 1 3 4 -5 6
14 Helsingborg 8 1 2 5 -4 5
15 Sundsvall 7 1 0 6 -11 3
16 Degerfors 7 1 0 6 -13 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goteborg Varberg
1–0 Hosam Aiesh
M. Berg
31′
Simon Thern 🟨
33′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Burke
↦ A. Boman
47′
🟨 Robin Tranberg
55′
🔁 D. Kunst
↦ O. Alfonsi
55′
🔁 S. Karlsson Adjei
↦ R. Simović
64′
🟨 Luke Le Roux
K. Yakob 🔁
↦ O. Vilhelmsson
67′
70′
A. Johansson 1–1
74′
🔁 A. Winbo
↦ Eliton Júnior
H. Carneil 🔁
↦ Amir Al Ammari
77′
77′
🔁 V. Karlsson
↦ R. Tranberg
82′
🟨 Albin Winbo
96′
🟨 Jaheem Burke
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Goteborg

4-2-3-1
1 W. Hahn G
2 E. Salomonsson D
4 C. Johansson D
5 A. Jallow D
20 J. Bångsbo D
21 S. Thern M
8 Hosam Aiesh M
6 Amir Al Ammari M
14 G. Norlin M
9 M. Berg M
29 O. Vilhelmsson F
Bench (7)
23 K. Yakob
19 H. Carneil
12 A. Benediktsson
11 E. Sorga
3 Bernardo Vilar
34 H. Ghasem
24 F. Ambrož

Coach: M. Stahre

Varberg

3-4-3
29 F. Andersson G
18 J. Lindner D
4 O. Stanisic D
2 J. Birkfeldt D
7 R. Tranberg F
8 L. Le Roux M
11 Eliton Júnior M
22 A. Boman M
14 O. Alfonsi F
9 R. Simović F
16 A. Johansson M
Bench (7)
33 J. Burke
32 D. Kunst
12 S. Karlsson Adjei
6 A. Winbo
21 V. Karlsson
1 P. Mårtensson
3 H. Zackrisson

Coach: J. Persson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Pandzic · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.