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Allsvenskan
Referee: R Sundell
Mjallby
S S U T T
3–2
Full-time
Kalmar
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mjallby Kalmar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mjallby 9. · Kalmar 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 6 6 0 0 +17 +6.8 18
2 Halmstad 6 4 0 2 +0 -3.6 12
3 AIK 6 3 2 1 +0 -2.2 11
4 Djurgarden 6 3 1 2 +3 +1.2 10
5 Hacken 6 3 1 2 +1 -1.4 10
6 Norrkoping 6 3 1 2 -3 -4.1 10
7 GAIS 6 3 0 3 -3 +0.4 9
8 Brommapojkarna 5 2 2 1 +5 +2.5 8
9 Mjallby 5 2 1 2 +2 +1.0 7
10 Sirius 5 2 1 2 +1 +2.0 7
11 Hammarby 5 2 0 3 +1 +1.0 6
12 Goteborg 5 1 1 3 -4 -0.8 4
13 Elfsborg 5 1 1 3 -5 +2.5 4
14 Varnamo 6 1 1 4 -8 -4.5 4
15 Vasteras SK 5 1 0 4 -3 +2.3 3
16 Kalmar 5 1 0 4 -4 -2.9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mjallby Kalmar
Jakob Kiilerich 🟨
9′
1–0 N. Røjkjær ⚽
I. Jagne
18′
22′
⚽ K. Jensen 1–1
A. Motaraghebjafarpour
34′
⚽ J. Trenskow 1–2
2–2 I. Jagne ⚽
E. Stroud
43′
Half-time 2–2
61′
🔁 D. Islamović
↦ J. Ring
64′
🟨 Romarinho
V. Gustafson 🔁
↦ A. Johansson
69′
L. Tidstrand 🔁
↦ S. Nwankwo
69′
78′
🟨 Rony Jansson
Herman Johansson 🟨
86′
3–2 J. Kiilerich ⚽
A. Brorsson
93′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Mjallby

3-4-3
35 A. Lundin G
11 A. Ståhl D
3 A. Brorsson D
13 J. Kiilerich D
14 H. Johansson M
10 N. Røjkjær M
22 J. Gustavsson M
17 E. Stroud M
6 I. Jagne F
31 S. Nwankwo F
16 A. Johansson F
Bench (9)
7 V. Gustafson
27 L. Tidstrand
29 I. Johnson
20 J. Persson Åhstedt
23 F. Linderoth
1 N. Törnqvist
26 K. Nennesson
28 T. Malmström
15 L. Svensson

Coach: A. Torstensson

Kalmar

4-3-3
1 S. Brolin G
26 A. Motaraghebjafarpour D
39 L. Sætra D
6 R. Sjöstedt D
25 R. Jansson D
29 Romário M
10 S. Skrabb M
21 A. Magashy M
20 J. Trenskow F
11 J. Ring F
7 K. Jensen F
Bench (9)
9 D. Islamović
14 L. Isa
30 J. Kindberg
24 W. Andersson
23 R. Gojani
27 A. Davoudi-Kia
18 Z. Råvik
5 M. Hallberg
16 William Anderson

Coach: H. Jensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

R Sundell · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.