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Allsvenskan

Referee: F Klitte

Elfsborg

U S T T T

2–0

Full-time

Sirius

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

0,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

80%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

3,4

2,2

Scored

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%

11 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 5

3 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 13. · Sirius 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	6	6	0	0	+17	+6.8	18
2	Halmstad	6	4	0	2	+0	-3.6	12
3	AIK	6	3	2	1	+0	-2.2	11
4	Djurgarden	6	3	1	2	+3	+1.2	10
5	Hacken	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.4	10
6	Norrkoping	6	3	1	2	-3	-4.1	10
7	GAIS	6	3	0	3	-3	+0.4	9
8	Brommapojkarna	5	2	2	1	+5	+2.5	8
9	Mjallby	5	2	1	2	+2	+1.0	7
10	Sirius	5	2	1	2	+1	+2.0	7
11	Hammarby	5	2	0	3	+1	+1.0	6
12	Goteborg	5	1	1	3	-4	-0.8	4
13	Elfsborg	5	1	1	3	-5	+2.5	4
14	Varnamo	6	1	1	4	-8	-4.5	4
15	Vasteras SK	5	1	0	4	-3	+2.3	3
16	Kalmar	5	1	0	4	-4	-2.9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.2	9
2	AIK	3	3	0	0	+5	-0.3	9
3	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+2	-2.1	7
4	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.0	6
5	Hacken	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.4	6
6	Halmstad	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.2	6
7	Norrkoping	3	2	0	1	-1	-3.2	6
8	Mjallby	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.7	4
9	Sirius	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.0	3
10	Vasteras SK	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.9	3
11	GAIS	2	1	0	1	-3	-0.1	3
12	Brommapojkarna	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.1	2
13	Elfsborg	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.8	1
14	Goteborg	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.2	1
15	Kalmar	3	0	0	3	-3	-1.4	0
16	Varnamo	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.6	9
2	Brommapojkarna	3	2	0	1	+5	+2.4	6
3	GAIS	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.5	6
4	Halmstad	3	2	0	1	+0	-3.4	6
5	Hacken	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
6	Varnamo	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.4	4
7	Sirius	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.0	4
8	Norrkoping	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.9	4
9	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+1	+3.3	3
10	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
11	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
12	Mjallby	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.3	3
13	Elfsborg	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.6	3
14	AIK	3	0	2	1	-5	-1.9	2
15	Vasteras SK	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.4	0
16	Hammarby	3	0	0	3	-4	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.