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Allsvenskan
Referee: M Al Hakim
Djurgarden
S S S S S
0–3
Full-time
Hammarby
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Djurgarden Hammarby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 64%
73%
55%
Points per game
2,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
36%
91%
Both score Ø 46%
27%
64%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,6
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,79 xG 1,29
47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Djurgarden 2. · Hammarby 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 13 10 2 1 +25 +12.8 32
2 Djurgarden 11 8 1 2 +16 +0.8 25
3 GAIS 12 7 0 5 -1 -2.5 21
4 Mjallby 12 6 2 4 +6 +1.0 20
5 Hammarby 11 6 0 5 +3 +1.2 18
6 Halmstad 12 6 0 6 -2 -1.9 18
7 AIK 11 5 2 4 -1 -0.1 17
8 Hacken 12 5 2 5 -1 -2.2 17
9 Elfsborg 13 5 1 7 +1 +2.6 16
10 Sirius 12 4 3 5 -1 +3.5 15
11 Brommapojkarna 12 3 6 3 -2 +2.1 15
12 Varnamo 11 4 2 5 -3 -4.8 14
13 Goteborg 12 4 2 6 -6 -4.1 14
14 Norrkoping 12 3 2 7 -17 -5.6 11
15 Kalmar 11 3 1 7 -7 -5.0 10
16 Vasteras SK 11 1 2 8 -10 +2.3 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Djurgarden Hammarby
T. Bergvall 🔁
↦ P. Johansson
14′
Theo Bergvall 🟨
15′
15′
N. Besara 0–1
26′
🟨 Pavle Vagić
Lucas Bergvall 🟨
27′
29′
N. Besara 0–2
Half-time 0–2
Gustav Wikheim 🟨
55′
S. Leach Holm 🔁
↦ B. Šabović
57′
69′
B. Touré 0–3
72′
🔁 V. Đukanović
↦ B. Touré
O. Fallenius 🔁
↦ G. Wikheim
77′
A. Ekdal 🔁
↦ L. Bergvall
77′
86′
🔁 S. Strand
↦ H. Skoglund
86′
🔁 A. Boudah
↦ D. Gül
91′
🔁 M. Karlsson
↦ O. Johansson Schellhas
91′
🔁 M. Fenger
↦ T. Tekie
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Djurgarden

4-2-3-1
35 J. Widell Zetterström G
2 P. Johansson D
5 M. Tenho D
4 J. Une Larsson D
26 S. Dahl D
21 L. Bergvall M
14 B. Šabović M
23 G. Wikheim M
20 T. Nguen M
16 T. Gulliksen M
11 D. Hümmet F
Bench (9)
12 T. Bergvall
10 S. Leach Holm
15 O. Fallenius
8 A. Ekdal
7 M. Eriksson
30 M. Nilsson Säfqvist
3 M. Danielson
9 H. Radetinac
17 P. Therkildsen

Coach: K. Bergstrand

Hammarby

4-2-3-1
1 O. Dovin G
2 H. Skoglund D
4 E. Kurtulus D
6 P. Vagić D
30 S. Pinas D
5 T. Tekie M
8 F. Hammar M
11 O. Johansson Schellhas M
20 N. Besara M
28 B. Touré M
19 D. Gül F
Bench (9)
7 V. Đukanović
21 S. Strand
23 A. Boudah
22 M. Karlsson
13 M. Fenger
15 Marc Llinares
25 D. Blažević
18 Montader Madjed
24 K. Gyamfi

Coach: K. Hellberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.