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Allsvenskan
Referee: Tess Olofsson
GAIS
T U U S S
1–1
Full-time
Degerfors
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Degerfors
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,87 xG 1,01
44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match GAIS 8. · Degerfors 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 7 6 1 0 +12 +7.7 19
2 Hammarby 7 4 2 1 +12 +5.0 14
3 Elfsborg 7 4 2 1 +5 +1.8 14
4 Djurgarden 7 4 1 2 +8 +3.3 13
5 Hacken 7 3 4 0 +4 +2.6 13
6 Mjallby 7 4 1 2 +4 -1.2 13
7 Malmo FF 7 3 1 3 +1 +0.3 10
8 GAIS 7 2 2 3 +1 +0.6 8
9 AIK 7 2 2 3 -2 -2.5 8
10 Brommapojkarna 7 2 2 3 -3 +1.1 8
11 Degerfors 7 2 2 3 -3 -2.3 8
12 Vasteras SK 7 2 2 3 -5 -6.3 8
13 Kalmar 7 2 1 4 -1 +0.3 7
14 Orgryte 7 1 2 4 -12 -4.3 5
15 Goteborg 7 0 3 4 -11 -2.7 3
16 Halmstad 7 0 2 5 -10 -3.4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

GAIS Degerfors
1–0 W. Milovanovic
M. de Brienne
13′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Lindell
↦ S. Diatara
M. Bawa 🔁
↦ O. Pettersson
55′
61′
🟨 Erik Lindell
63′
🔁 D. Vukojevic
↦ O. Leonardsson
R. Niklasson 🔁
↦ M. Andersson
64′
L. Hedlund 🔁
↦ S. Salter
64′
William Milovanovic 🟨
71′
74′
🟨 Nahom Girmai
74′
🔁 E. Barsoum
↦ G. Yiriyon
82′
E. Lindell 1–1
E. Barsoum
A. Cardaklija 🔁
↦ M. de Brienne
91′
B. Asumang 🔁
↦ R. Thorkelsson
91′
91′
🔁 A. Taranis
↦ L. Fritzson
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

GAIS

4-3-3
1 M. Krasniqi G
6 A. Wangberg D
12 R. Frej D
24 F. Beckman D
2 M. de Brienne D
8 W. Milovanovic M
4 O. Agren M
17 R. Thorkelsson M
16 M. Andersson F
20 S. Salter F
32 O. Pettersson F
Bench (9)
13 K. Sims
25 J. Lindberg
11 R. Niklasson
22 A. Cardaklija
21 S. Ekong
26 B. Asumang
28 L. Hedlund
27 M. Bawa
31 A. Zovko

Coach: Fredrik Holmberg

Degerfors

4-4-2
38 M. Igonen G
6 D. Sundgren D
16 S. Ohlsson D
5 J. Pikkarainen D
18 S. Diatara D
13 G. Yiriyon M
22 N. Girmai M
4 K. Karlsson M
10 M. Rafferty M
14 L. Fritzson F
24 O. Leonardsson F
Bench (9)
25 R. Forsell
15 N. Moro
17 A. Taranis
20 E. Barsoum
19 A. Lindgren
11 D. Vukojevic
12 E. Lindell
27 Z. Salifu
28 J. Hernandez

Coach: Henok Goitom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tess Olofsson · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.