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Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice
S S S U S
0–2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 48%
53%
43%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 49%
37%
60%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Piast Gliwice 2. · Lech Poznan 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 30 19 3 8 +33 60
2 Piast Gliwice 30 16 5 9 +10 53
3 Lech Poznan 30 13 10 7 +26 49
4 Slask Wroclaw 30 13 10 7 +9 49
5 Cracovia 30 14 4 12 +10 46
6 Pogon Szczecin 30 12 9 9 -2 45
7 Gornik Zabrze 31 11 11 9 +2 44
8 Jagiellonia 30 12 8 10 +2 44
9 Lechia Gdansk 30 11 10 9 -2 43
10 Zaglebie 31 11 8 12 +4 41
11 Rakow 30 12 5 13 -5 41
12 Wisla Plock 31 10 9 12 -13 39
13 Wisla 30 10 5 15 -10 35
14 Korona Kielce 31 8 6 17 -17 30
15 Arka Gdynia 31 7 9 15 -19 30
16 LKS Lodz 31 5 6 20 -28 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.