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Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia
T U U T T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
35%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
55%
35%
Average goals
2,9
1,9
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 13. · Pogon Szczecin 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 20 13 3 4 +14 42
2 Pogon Szczecin 20 10 5 5 +11 35
3 Rakow 20 10 5 5 +10 35
4 Lechia Gdansk 20 9 3 8 +3 30
5 Zaglebie 20 8 5 7 +4 29
6 Slask Wroclaw 21 8 5 8 +3 29
7 Lech Poznan 20 7 7 6 +3 28
8 Gornik Zabrze 20 8 4 8 +1 28
9 Piast Gliwice 20 7 6 7 +3 27
10 Warta Poznan 20 8 2 10 -2 26
11 Wisla 20 6 7 7 +4 25
12 Cracovia 21 5 10 6 -3 25
13 Jagiellonia 20 7 4 9 -6 25
14 Wisla Plock 20 6 5 9 -7 23
15 Podbeskidzie 20 4 6 10 -24 18
16 Stal Mielec 20 3 7 10 -14 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.