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Bundesliga
Referee: S Jablonski
Augsburg
T T U S T
3–1
Full-time
M'gladbach
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 31%
29%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
46%
58%
Both score Ø 65%
54%
75%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%
10 Shots 28
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 10
3 Offside 5
6 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 13. · M'gladbach 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 24 17 4 3 +37 55
2 RB Leipzig 24 16 5 3 +26 53
3 Wolfsburg 24 12 9 3 +17 45
4 Ein Frankfurt 24 11 10 3 +14 43
5 Leverkusen 24 11 7 6 +16 40
6 Dortmund 24 12 3 9 +15 39
7 Union Berlin 24 8 11 5 +10 35
8 Freiburg 24 9 7 8 -1 34
9 Stuttgart 24 8 9 7 +8 33
10 M'gladbach 24 8 9 7 +3 33
11 Hoffenheim 24 8 6 10 -2 30
12 Werder Bremen 24 7 9 8 -4 30
13 Augsburg 24 7 5 12 -13 26
14 FC Koln 24 5 7 12 -20 22
15 Hertha 24 5 6 13 -15 21
16 Bielefeld 24 5 4 15 -25 19
17 Mainz 24 4 6 14 -21 18
18 Schalke 04 24 1 7 16 -45 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg M'gladbach
Half-time 0–0
R. Vargas 🔁
↦ L. Bénes
46′
1–0 R. Vargas
D. Caligiuri
52′
R. Oxford 🔁
↦ T. Strobl
67′
C. Gruezo 🔁
↦ D. Caligiuri
67′
68′
F. Neuhaus 1–1
O. Wendt
2–1 M. Richter
76′
78′
🔁 B. Embolo
↦ M. Thuram
78′
🔁 P. Herrmann
↦ O. Wendt
3–1 A. Hahn
M. Richter
88′
M. Gregoritsch 🔁
↦ M. Richter
92′
N. Sarenren Bazee 🔁
↦ A. Hahn
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
32 R. Framberger D
19 F. Uduokhai D
2 R. Gumny D
20 D. Caligiuri M
28 A. Hahn F
33 T. Strobl M
8 R. Khedira M
18 L. Bénes M
23 M. Richter M
Bench (8)
16 R. Vargas
36 R. Oxford
25 C. Gruezo
11 M. Gregoritsch
17 N. Sarenren Bazee
5 M. Suchý
40 T. Koubek
7 F. Niederlechner

Coach: H. Herrlich

M'gladbach

4-2-3-1
1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt D
18 S. Lainer D
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
13 L. Stindl M
23 J. Hofmann M
19 V. Lazaro M
32 F. Neuhaus M
14 A. Plea F
10 M. Thuram M
Bench (9)
36 B. Embolo
7 P. Herrmann
24 T. Jantschke
43 R. Reitz
8 D. Zakaria
15 L. Beyer
16 I. Traoré
21 T. Sippel
11 H. Wolf

Coach: M. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,19
U
3,73
B
1,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,98
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.