Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Blackburn
Brentford
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Norwich
|
35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | +26 | 76 |
| 2 |
Watford
|
35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | +22 | 66 |
| 3 |
Reading
|
35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | +12 | 60 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | +24 | 59 |
| 5 |
Swansea
|
31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | +15 | 59 |
| 6 |
Barnsley
|
33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | +9 | 58 |
| 7 |
Bournemouth
|
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | +17 | 56 |
| 8 |
Cardiff
|
35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | +18 | 54 |
| 9 |
Middlesbrough
|
35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | +3 | 50 |
| 10 |
Stoke
|
35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | +2 | 48 |
| 11 |
Millwall
|
35 | 10 | 16 | 9 | +1 | 46 |
| 12 |
QPR
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 |
Bristol City
|
35 | 14 | 3 | 18 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 |
Blackburn
|
35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | +9 | 44 |
| 15 |
Preston
|
35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | -6 | 44 |
| 16 |
Luton
|
34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | -12 | 44 |
| 17 |
Nott'm Forest
|
35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 40 |
| 18 |
Derby
|
35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | -13 | 39 |
| 19 |
Huddersfield
|
35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | -12 | 38 |
| 20 |
Coventry
|
35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | -14 | 38 |
| 21 |
Birmingham
|
35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | -17 | 35 |
| 22 |
Sheffield Weds
|
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -19 | 34 |
| 23 |
Rotherham
|
32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | -8 | 32 |
| 24 |
Wycombe
|
35 | 5 | 8 | 22 | -35 | 23 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. Nyambe
D
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
T. Trybull
M
T. Dolan
F
S. Gallagher
F
B. Brereton
F
Coach: T. Mowbray
David Raya
G
M. Sørensen
D
E. Pinnock
D
M. Jensen
M
V. Janelt
M
B. Mbeumo
Coach: T. Frank
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Blackburn
Swansea
Millwall
Blackburn
Reading
Blackburn
Blackburn
Coventry
Blackburn
Watford
G Eltringham · 124 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.