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Championship
Referee: G Eltringham
Blackburn
T U T S U
0–1
Full-time
Brentford
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Championship · 35/32 matches
Win Ø 44%
34%
53%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
49%
53%
Both score Ø 54%
51%
56%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 14. · Brentford 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 35 23 7 5 +26 76
2 Watford 35 19 9 7 +22 66
3 Reading 35 18 6 11 +12 60
4 Brentford 32 17 8 7 +24 59
5 Swansea 31 17 8 6 +15 59
6 Barnsley 33 17 7 9 +9 58
7 Bournemouth 34 15 11 8 +17 56
8 Cardiff 35 15 9 11 +18 54
9 Middlesbrough 35 14 8 13 +3 50
10 Stoke 35 12 12 11 +2 48
11 Millwall 35 10 16 9 +1 46
12 QPR 34 12 10 12 -4 46
13 Bristol City 35 14 3 18 -12 45
14 Blackburn 35 12 8 15 +9 44
15 Preston 35 13 5 17 -6 44
16 Luton 34 12 8 14 -12 44
17 Nott'm Forest 35 10 10 15 -6 40
18 Derby 35 10 9 16 -13 39
19 Huddersfield 35 10 8 17 -12 38
20 Coventry 35 9 11 15 -14 38
21 Birmingham 35 8 11 16 -17 35
22 Sheffield Weds 34 9 7 18 -19 34
23 Rotherham 32 9 5 18 -8 32
24 Wycombe 35 5 8 22 -35 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Brentford
10′
I. Toney 0–1
Half-time 0–1
J. Rothwell 🔁
↦ S. Gallagher
46′
H. Elliott 🔁
↦ B. Brereton
46′
L. Travis 🔁
↦ T. Trybull
54′
B. Johnson 🔁
↦ L. Travis
61′
72′
🔁 Sergi Canós
↦ T. Fosu
72′
🔁 E. Marcondes
↦ M. Jensen
John Buckley 🟨
75′
76′
🔁 S. Ghoddos
↦ C. Nørgaard
E. Bennett 🔁
↦ J. Buckley
77′
79′
🟨 Bryan Mbeumo
85′
🔁 M. Forss
↦ B. Mbeumo
Darragh Lenihan 🟨
86′
Bradley Johnson 🟨
90′
Elliott Bennett 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Mads Bech Sørensen
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-3-3
1 T. Kaminski G
15 B. Douglas D
26 D. Lenihan D
2 R. Nyambe D
22 T. Harwood-Bellis D
19 T. Trybull M
23 B. Dack M
21 J. Buckley M
39 T. Dolan F
9 S. Gallagher F
20 B. Brereton F
Bench (9)
8 J. Rothwell
16 H. Elliott
27 L. Travis
4 B. Johnson
31 E. Bennett
30 J. Branthwaite
17 A. Bell
29 C. Evans
13 A. Pears

Coach: T. Mowbray

Brentford

4-3-3
1 David Raya G
23 W. Reid D
22 H. Dalsgaard D
29 M. Sørensen D
5 E. Pinnock D
6 C. Nørgaard M
24 T. Fosu F
8 M. Jensen M
27 V. Janelt M
17 I. Toney F
19 B. Mbeumo
Bench (9)
7 Sergi Canós
9 E. Marcondes
20 S. Ghoddos
15 M. Forss
36 F. Stevens
41 M. Bidstrup
31 J. Žambůrek
28 L. Daniels
30 M. Rasmussen

Coach: T. Frank

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,49
U
3,43
B ✓
2,10
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Eltringham · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.