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Ekstraklasa
Referee: W Myć
Warta Poznan
S T S S U
2–2
Full-time
Zaglebie
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Zaglebie
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 26%
38%
13%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
1,9
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
15 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Warta Poznan 11. · Zaglebie 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 8 5 2 1 +12 17
2 Legia 8 5 2 1 +4 17
3 Pogon Szczecin 8 5 1 2 +5 16
4 Cracovia 8 4 1 3 +5 13
5 Stal Mielec 8 4 1 3 +2 13
6 Rakow 7 4 1 2 +2 13
7 Radomiak Radom 8 3 2 3 -1 11
8 Lech Poznan 7 3 1 3 +1 10
9 Korona Kielce 8 3 1 4 +0 10
10 Widzew Lodz 8 3 1 4 -1 10
11 Warta Poznan 8 3 1 4 -3 10
12 Gornik Zabrze 7 2 3 2 +0 9
13 Piast Gliwice 7 3 0 4 +0 9
14 Jagiellonia 8 2 3 3 -1 9
15 Zaglebie 8 2 3 3 -4 9
16 Slask Wroclaw 8 2 3 3 -5 9
17 Legnica 7 1 1 5 -6 4
18 Lechia Gdansk 7 1 1 5 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Warta Poznan Zaglebie
1–0 J. Grzesik
28′
33′
M. Doležal 1–1
Ł. Łakomy
Half-time 1–1
M. Szczepański 🔁
↦ M. Żurawski
51′
59′
🔁 R. Adamski
↦ M. Doležal
67′
R. Adamski 1–2
D. Bohar
2–2 A. Zreľák
N. Mäenpää
71′
K. Szmyt 🔁
↦ N. Mäenpää
74′
Adam Zreľák 🟨
75′
77′
🔁 T. Pieńko
↦ F. Starzyński
77′
🔁 C. Dieng
↦ D. Bohar
Kajetan Szmyt 🟨
79′
M. Corryn 🔁
↦ Miguel Luís
90′
E. Destan 🔁
↦ K. Matuszewski
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Warta Poznan

3-4-2-1
1 A. Lis G
54 D. Stavropoulos D
44 D. Szymonowicz D
4 R. Ivanov D
2 J. Grzesik M
8 N. Mäenpää M
21 M. Kupczak M
22 K. Matuszewski M
6 M. Żurawski F
16 Miguel Luís F
99 A. Zreľák F
Bench (7)
30 M. Szczepański
24 K. Szmyt
10 M. Corryn
94 E. Destan
33 J. Grobelny
23 M. Rakowski
17 S. Sarbinowski

Coach: D. Szulczek

Zaglebie

4-2-3-1
89 K. Bieszczad G
2 B. Kopacz D
5 A. Ławniczak D
4 J. Jach D
8 G. Giorbelidze D
6 T. Makowski M
99 Ł. Łakomy M
9 T. Gaprindashvili M
18 F. Starzyński M
39 D. Bohar M
15 M. Doležal F
Bench (9)
19 R. Adamski
21 T. Pieńko
29 C. Dieng
1 J. Burić
26 K. Chodyna
27 B. Kłudka
24 K. Lepczyński
20 M. Poletanović
11 A. Woźniak

Coach: P. Stokowiec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Myć · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.