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Ekstraklasa
Referee: L Kuźma
Cracovia
S S T T U
0–2
Full-time
Warta Poznan
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Warta Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
This season — Ekstraklasa · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cracovia 5. · Warta Poznan 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 7 5 1 1 +12 16
2 Legia 7 4 2 1 +3 14
3 Pogon Szczecin 6 4 1 1 +5 13
4 Radomiak Radom 7 3 2 2 +0 11
5 Cracovia 6 3 1 2 +4 10
6 Widzew Lodz 7 3 1 3 +1 10
7 Korona Kielce 7 3 1 3 +1 10
8 Stal Mielec 7 3 1 3 +0 10
9 Slask Wroclaw 6 2 3 1 +0 9
10 Gornik Zabrze 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Jagiellonia 7 2 2 3 -1 8
12 Zaglebie 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Rakow 4 2 1 1 +1 7
14 Piast Gliwice 5 2 0 3 +0 6
15 Warta Poznan 6 2 0 4 -5 6
16 Legnica 6 1 1 4 -5 4
17 Lechia Gdansk 5 1 0 4 -7 3
18 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Warta Poznan
Michal Siplak 🟨
10′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Miłosz Szczepański
61′
🔁 N. Mäenpää
↦ M. Szczepański
61′
🔁 M. Kupczak
↦ M. Żurawski
61′
🔁 J. Kiełb
↦ Miguel Luís
O. Kakabadze 🔁
↦ C. Râpă
65′
F. Loshaj 🔁
↦ T. Oshima
68′
J. Myszor 🔁
↦ M. Rakoczy
69′
77′
🟨 Mateusz Kupczak
80′
🔁 K. Szmyt
↦ K. Matuszewski
K. Knap 🔁
↦ P. Makuch
84′
87′
A. Zreľák 0–1
M. Kupczak
Jakub Jugas 🟨
92′
92′
🔁 W. Pleśnierowicz
↦ D. Stavropoulos
95′
D. Szymonowicz 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-5-2
23 K. Niemczycki G
24 J. Jugas D
88 M. Rodin D
5 V. Ghiță D
2 C. Râpă M
18 T. Oshima M
8 M. Hebo M
11 M. Rakoczy M
3 M. Sipľak M
9 B. Källman F
71 P. Makuch F
Bench (9)
25 O. Kakabadze
22 F. Loshaj
38 J. Myszor
20 K. Knap
45 F. Balaj
85 D. Jablonský
27 M. Budziński
16 P. Kapek
31 L. Hroššo

Coach: J. Zieliński

Warta Poznan

3-4-3
1 A. Lis G
54 D. Stavropoulos D
44 D. Szymonowicz D
4 R. Ivanov D
2 J. Grzesik M
6 M. Żurawski M
15 M. Kopczyński M
22 K. Matuszewski M
30 M. Szczepański F
99 A. Zreľák F
16 Miguel Luís F
Bench (9)
8 N. Mäenpää
21 M. Kupczak
3 J. Kiełb
24 K. Szmyt
34 W. Pleśnierowicz
33 J. Grobelny
94 E. Destan
10 M. Corryn
11 M. Jakóbowski

Coach: D. Szulczek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Kuźma · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.