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Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Jakubik
Lechia Gdansk
S T T T T
0–0
Full-time
Warta Poznan
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Warta Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 30%
17%
43%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
83%
43%
Both score Ø 40%
50%
29%
Average goals
3,3
2,1
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 18. · Warta Poznan 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 8 5 2 1 +4 17
2 Wisla Plock 7 5 1 1 +12 16
3 Rakow 6 4 1 1 +5 13
4 Pogon Szczecin 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Stal Mielec 8 4 1 3 +2 13
6 Radomiak Radom 8 3 2 3 -1 11
7 Cracovia 7 3 1 3 +2 10
8 Widzew Lodz 7 3 1 3 +1 10
9 Korona Kielce 7 3 1 3 +1 10
10 Warta Poznan 7 3 0 4 -3 9
11 Slask Wroclaw 8 2 3 3 -5 9
12 Gornik Zabrze 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Jagiellonia 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Zaglebie 7 2 2 3 -4 8
15 Lech Poznan 6 2 1 3 -1 7
16 Piast Gliwice 6 2 0 4 -1 6
17 Legnica 6 1 1 4 -5 4
18 Lechia Gdansk 6 1 0 5 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lechia Gdansk Warta Poznan
Jarosław Kubicki 🟨
40′
43′
🟨 Robert Ivanov
Half-time 0–0
Maciej Gajos 🟨
61′
D. Piła 🔁
↦ K. Sezonienko
63′
M. Terrazzino 🔁
↦ Flávio Paixão
63′
J. de Kamps 🔁
↦ M. Gajos
63′
72′
🔁 N. Mäenpää
↦ M. Żurawski
72′
🔁 K. Szmyt
↦ M. Szczepański
B. Diabaté 🔁
↦ L. Zwoliński
82′
C. Clemens 🔁
↦ Conrado
82′
83′
🔁 E. Destan
↦ K. Matuszewski
92′
🔁 M. Corryn
↦ Miguel Luís
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Lechia Gdansk

4-2-3-1
12 D. Kuciak G
29 D. Stec D
25 M. Nalepa D
23 M. Maloča D
2 R. Pietrzak D
7 M. Gajos M
6 J. Kubicki M
79 K. Sezonienko M
28 Flávio Paixão M
20 Conrado M
9 L. Zwoliński F
Bench (9)
11 D. Piła
33 M. Terrazzino
8 J. de Kamps
10 B. Diabaté
17 C. Clemens
1 M. Buchalik
97 J. Abu Hanna
4 K. Tobers
88 J. Kałuziński

Coach: T. Kaczmarek

Warta Poznan

3-4-2-1
1 A. Lis G
54 D. Stavropoulos D
44 D. Szymonowicz D
4 R. Ivanov D
2 J. Grzesik M
21 M. Kupczak M
6 M. Żurawski M
22 K. Matuszewski M
30 M. Szczepański F
16 Miguel Luís F
99 A. Zreľák F
Bench (8)
8 N. Mäenpää
24 K. Szmyt
94 E. Destan
10 M. Corryn
34 W. Pleśnierowicz
23 M. Rakowski
33 J. Grobelny
17 S. Sarbinowski

Coach: D. Szulczek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Jakubik · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.