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Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie
T S U U S
0–4
Full-time
Warta Poznan
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Warta Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 28%
32%
24%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
60%
28%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
44%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Zaglebie 13. · Warta Poznan 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 25 15 6 4 +21 51
2 Pogon Szczecin 25 14 8 3 +24 50
3 Lech Poznan 25 14 7 4 +30 49
4 Lechia Gdansk 25 11 7 7 +8 40
5 Radomiak Radom 25 10 10 5 +7 40
6 Gornik Zabrze 25 10 6 9 +3 36
7 Wisla Plock 25 11 3 11 +0 36
8 Piast Gliwice 25 9 7 9 +3 34
9 Cracovia 25 8 8 9 -3 32
10 Stal Mielec 25 8 8 9 -4 32
11 Legia 25 10 1 14 -4 31
12 Jagiellonia 25 7 9 9 -8 30
13 Zaglebie 25 8 4 13 -15 28
14 Slask Wroclaw 25 6 9 10 -5 27
15 Warta Poznan 25 6 9 10 -7 27
16 Wisla 25 6 6 13 -13 24
17 Leczna 25 5 9 11 -18 24
18 Nieciecza 25 5 7 13 -19 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.