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La Liga

Referee: César Soto

Girona

U T S T U

2–1

Full-time

Valladolid

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 12

3 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Girona 12. · Valladolid 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Betis	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Osasuna	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Ath Madrid	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Celta	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	-1	7
10	Valencia	4	2	0	2	+3	6
11	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Girona	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Almeria	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Espanol	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-6	4
17	Sevilla	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Elche	4	0	1	3	-8	1
19	Getafe	4	0	1	3	-9	1
20	Cadiz	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Valencia	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Girona	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Elche	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Espanol	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Mallorca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Girona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Almeria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sevilla	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Elche	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.