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Ekstraklasa
Referee: L Kuźma
Legnica
T T T U T
2–4
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legnica Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 26%
8%
43%
Points per game
0,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
54%
64%
Both score Ø 74%
69%
79%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

36% Possession 64%
12 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 6
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legnica 18. · Pogon Szczecin 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 14 10 2 2 +15 32
2 Widzew Lodz 14 8 2 4 +9 26
3 Wisla Plock 14 7 4 3 +11 25
4 Legia 14 7 4 3 +1 25
5 Pogon Szczecin 14 6 5 3 +4 23
6 Stal Mielec 14 7 2 5 +1 23
7 Lech Poznan 13 6 4 3 +4 22
8 Radomiak Radom 14 6 2 6 -2 20
9 Cracovia 14 5 4 5 +4 19
10 Jagiellonia 14 4 6 4 +4 18
11 Warta Poznan 14 5 3 6 -1 18
12 Slask Wroclaw 14 4 5 5 -5 17
13 Zaglebie 14 4 5 5 -8 17
14 Gornik Zabrze 13 3 5 5 -4 14
15 Piast Gliwice 14 3 3 8 -4 12
16 Korona Kielce 14 3 3 8 -7 12
17 Lechia Gdansk 13 3 2 8 -11 11
18 Legnica 13 1 3 9 -11 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legnica Pogon Szczecin
1–0 Koldo Obieta
C. Julio Martínez
6′
8′
🟨 Michał Kucharczyk
Jurich Carolina 🟨
10′
11′
S. Kowalczyk 1–1
13′
S. Kowalczyk 1–2
J. Bartkowski
Levent Gülen 🟨
24′
2–2 Koldo Obieta
45′
Half-time 2–2
Koldo Obieta Alberdi 🟨
55′
M. Śliwa 🔁
↦ M. Dominguez
62′
62′
🔁 K. Triantafyllopoulos
↦ B. Zech
67′
K. Grosicki 2–3
S. Kowalczyk
74′
ℹ️ Jakub Bartkowski
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Carlos Julio Martínez 🟨
75′
75′
S. Kowalczyk 2–4
M. Lehaire 🔁
↦ C. Julio Martínez
76′
78′
🔁 Jean Carlos
↦ M. Kucharczyk
78′
🔁 Luís Mata
↦ Léo Borges
S. Naveda 🔁
↦ L. Narsingh
86′
87′
🔁 M. Fornalczyk
↦ K. Grosicki
87′
🔁 M. Wędrychowski
↦ S. Kowalczyk
92′
🟨 Mariusz Malec
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Legnica

3-4-3
31 M. Abramowicz G
5 L. Gülen D
25 N. Mijušković D
23 J. Carolina D
2 C. Julio Martínez M
8 Chuca M
19 J. Cacciabue M
17 M. Kostka M
10 M. Dominguez F
11 Koldo Obieta F
9 L. Narsingh F
Bench (8)
70 M. Śliwa
59 M. Lehaire
15 S. Naveda
12 A. Madaliński
88 I. Lewandowski
21 B. Szczepanek
1 P. Lenarcik
6 S. Matuszek

Coach: G. Mokry

Pogon Szczecin

4-2-3-1
81 B. Klebaniuk G
2 J. Bartkowski D
23 B. Zech D
33 M. Malec D
4 Léo Borges D
99 M. Łęgowski M
7 R. Kurzawa M
18 M. Kucharczyk M
27 S. Kowalczyk M
11 K. Grosicki M
10 L. Zahovič F
Bench (9)
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos
21 Jean Carlos
97 Luís Mata
17 M. Fornalczyk
15 M. Wędrychowski
41 P. Stolarski
72 Y. Rostami
14 K. Drygas
1 D. Stipica

Coach: J. Gustafsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Kuźma · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.