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Pro League

Referee: N Verboomen

Genk

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Mechelen

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,8

This season — Pro League · 12/15 matches

Win Ø 63%

92%

33%

Points per game

2,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

75%

73%

Both score Ø 56%

58%

53%

Average goals

3,4

Scored

2,8

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,9

Goal diff per game

+2,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%

14 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 7

9 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 1. · Mechelen 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	12	11	1	0	+25	34
2	Antwerp	13	11	0	2	+15	33
3	Club Brugge	13	9	1	3	+15	28
4	St. Gilloise	11	9	1	1	+14	28
5	Gent	12	7	1	4	+9	22
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	6	3	5	+0	21
7	Anderlecht	14	6	1	7	+7	19
8	Charleroi	15	6	1	8	-4	19
9	Cercle Brugge	12	5	3	4	+2	18
10	Standard	11	6	0	5	+0	18
11	St Truiden	14	4	5	5	-3	17
12	Westerlo	12	5	2	5	-4	17
13	Mechelen	15	5	2	8	-5	17
14	Oostende	15	4	3	8	-11	15
15	Waregem	15	4	2	9	-12	14
16	Kortrijk	15	4	2	9	-12	14
17	Eupen	15	4	0	11	-16	12
18	Seraing	14	3	2	9	-10	11
19	Seraing United	14	3	2	9	-10	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Genk	7	6	1	0	+12	19
3	St. Gilloise	5	5	0	0	+6	15
4	Club Brugge	6	4	1	1	+9	13
5	Anderlecht	8	4	1	3	+6	13
6	Gent	6	4	1	1	+6	13
7	Mechelen	9	4	1	4	+1	13
8	Cercle Brugge	7	3	3	1	+6	12
9	Standard	6	3	0	3	+1	9
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	3	0	3	-3	9
11	Oostende	7	3	0	4	-6	9
12	Waregem	8	3	0	5	-8	9
13	Westerlo	5	2	2	1	+2	8
14	St Truiden	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Charleroi	7	2	1	4	-3	7
16	Eupen	8	2	0	6	-8	6
17	Kortrijk	7	1	1	5	-9	4
18	Seraing	6	0	1	5	-9	1
19	Seraing United	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	Club Brugge	7	5	0	2	+6	15
3	St. Gilloise	6	4	1	1	+8	13
4	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	3	3	2	+3	12
5	Antwerp	6	4	0	2	+2	12
6	Charleroi	8	4	0	4	-1	12
7	Seraing	8	3	1	4	-1	10
8	Seraing United	8	3	1	4	-1	10
9	Kortrijk	8	3	1	4	-3	10
10	Gent	6	3	0	3	+3	9
11	Standard	5	3	0	2	-1	9
12	St Truiden	7	2	3	2	-1	9
13	Westerlo	7	3	0	4	-6	9
14	Anderlecht	6	2	0	4	+1	6
15	Cercle Brugge	5	2	0	3	-4	6
16	Oostende	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Eupen	7	2	0	5	-8	6
18	Waregem	7	1	2	4	-4	5
19	Mechelen	6	1	1	4	-6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.