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Ekstraklasa
Referee: J Przybył
Gornik Zabrze
T T T S U
3–0
Full-time
Widzew Lodz
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Widzew Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
23%
57%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
62%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
69%
36%
Average goals
3,1
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
18 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 14. · Widzew Lodz 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 14 10 2 2 +15 32
2 Widzew Lodz 14 8 2 4 +9 26
3 Pogon Szczecin 15 7 5 3 +6 26
4 Wisla Plock 14 7 4 3 +11 25
5 Legia 14 7 4 3 +1 25
6 Stal Mielec 14 7 2 5 +1 23
7 Lech Poznan 13 6 4 3 +4 22
8 Radomiak Radom 14 6 2 6 -2 20
9 Cracovia 14 5 4 5 +4 19
10 Jagiellonia 14 4 6 4 +4 18
11 Warta Poznan 14 5 3 6 -1 18
12 Slask Wroclaw 14 4 5 5 -5 17
13 Zaglebie 14 4 5 5 -8 17
14 Gornik Zabrze 13 3 5 5 -4 14
15 Piast Gliwice 14 3 3 8 -4 12
16 Korona Kielce 14 3 3 8 -7 12
17 Lechia Gdansk 13 3 2 8 -11 11
18 Legnica 14 1 3 10 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gornik Zabrze Widzew Lodz
1–0 S. Włodarczyk
Dani Pacheco
18′
2–0 Ł. Podolski
E. Janža
24′
Dani Pacheco 🟨
37′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Letniowski
↦ D. Kun
46′
🔁 K. Danielak
↦ P. Zieliński
46′
🔁 M. Żyro
↦ S. Szota
R. Dadok 🔁
↦ R. Jensen
47′
3–0 S. Włodarczyk
Ł. Podolski
51′
53′
🟨 Jordi Sánchez
Kryspin Szczesniak 🟨
57′
59′
🟨 Mato Miloš
B. Vrhovec 🔁
↦ Dani Pacheco
63′
M. Cholewiak 🔁
↦ N. Wojtuszek
63′
Jean Jules Mvondo 🟨
67′
72′
🟨 Patryk Stępiński
78′
🔁 Ł. Zjawiński
↦ M. Miloš
81′
🔁 J. Shehu
↦ M. Hanousek
A. Maroša 🔁
↦ K. Okunuki
86′
P. Krawczyk 🔁
↦ S. Włodarczyk
86′
Emil Bergstrom 🟨
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

3-4-3
1 D. Bielica G
5 K. Szcześniak D
13 E. Bergström D
3 R. Jensen D
15 N. Wojtuszek M
23 J. Jules M
7 Dani Pacheco M
64 E. Janža M
20 S. Włodarczyk F
10 Ł. Podolski F
33 K. Okunuki F
Bench (9)
96 R. Dadok
8 B. Vrhovec
11 M. Cholewiak
71 A. Maroša
21 P. Krawczyk
17 R. Kamber
16 P. Olkowski
77 J. Szymański
32 K. Broll

Coach: B. Gaul

Widzew Lodz

3-4-3
26 H. Ravas G
95 P. Stępiński D
5 S. Szota D
33 M. Kreuzriegler D
23 P. Zieliński M
25 M. Hanousek M
22 D. Kun M
7 M. Miloš M
13 E. Terpiłowski F
9 Jordi Sánchez F
19 B. Pawłowski F
Bench (9)
10 J. Letniowski
8 K. Danielak
4 M. Żyro
29 Ł. Zjawiński
6 J. Shehu
72 V. Lytvynenko
3 B. Czorbadżijski
77 K. Hansen
20 P. Lipski

Coach: J. Niedźwiedź

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Przybył · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.