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Süper Lig
Referee: B Şimşek
Karagumruk
U T T S S
0–2
Full-time
Galatasaray
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
30%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
70%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
70%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,1
Scored
1,9
1,2
Conceded
1,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%
6 Shots 35
1 Shots on target 12
3 Blocked shots 12
10 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 11
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 12. · Galatasaray 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 10 7 2 1 +19 23
2 Ad. Demirspor 11 6 4 1 +10 22
3 Trabzonspor 11 6 3 2 +3 21
4 Buyuksehyr 10 6 2 2 +9 20
5 Besiktas 11 5 4 2 +6 19
6 Konyaspor 11 5 4 2 +6 19
7 Kayserispor 11 6 1 4 +5 19
8 Galatasaray 10 5 3 2 +3 18
9 Gaziantep 10 4 3 3 +3 15
10 Alanyaspor 11 3 4 4 -5 13
11 Kasimpasa 11 4 1 6 -11 13
12 Karagumruk 10 3 3 4 +1 12
13 Sivasspor 11 2 4 5 -3 10
14 Antalyaspor 10 3 1 6 -6 10
15 Hatayspor 10 3 1 6 -8 10
16 Giresunspor 10 2 3 5 -7 9
17 Ankaragücü 10 2 2 6 -8 8
18 İstanbulspor 10 2 2 6 -9 8
19 Ümraniyespor 10 0 3 7 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Galatasaray
Adnan Ugur ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
32′
Adnan Ugur 🟥
33′
Fabio Borini 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 B. Yılmaz
↦ K. Aktürkoğlu
53′
ℹ️ Victor Nelsson
VAR: Goal cancelled
60′
E. Taşdemir 0–1
M. Rashica
S. Dursun 🔁
↦ J. Kouassi
61′
75′
🔁 Mata
↦ D. Mertens
Jimmy Durmaz 🟨
77′
78′
🟨 Emin Bayram
L. Nicholas 🔁
↦ J. Durmaz
81′
84′
🔁 Y. Akgün
↦ M. Rashica
84′
🔁 B. Gomis
↦ M. Icardi
85′
Mata 0–2
89′
🔁 B. Kutlu
↦ L. Torreira
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-3-3
2 E. Viviano G
4 D. Biraschi D
44 S. Caulker D
5 I. Drešević D
88 C. Erkin D
21 J. Durmaz M
29 O. Shukurov M
77 A. Uğur M
70 J. Kouassi F
9 M. Diagne F
16 F. Borini F
Bench (10)
54 S. Dursun
24 L. Nicholas
19 E. Colley
11 K. Frei
99 R. Baniya
3 E. Tintiş
86 B. Bekaroğlu
17 S. Onur
1 B. Şen
18 L. Mercan

Coach: A. Pirlo

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
2 L. Dubois D
25 V. Nelsson D
40 E. Bayram D
13 E. Taşdemir D
5 L. Torreira M
27 Sérgio Oliveira M
26 M. Rashica M
10 D. Mertens M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
99 M. Icardi F
Bench (10)
53 B. Yılmaz
64 Mata
11 Y. Akgün
18 B. Gomis
22 B. Kutlu
3 P. van Aanholt
90 M. Baltacı
9 H. Seferović
6 F. Midtsjø
34 O. Kocuk

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,92
U
3,77
B ✓
1,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Şimşek · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.