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Ekstraklasa

Referee: L Kuźma

Legnica

S T T U T

0–2

Full-time

Stal Mielec

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legnica Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,7

This season — Ekstraklasa · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 26%

11%

40%

Points per game

0,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

78%

50%

Both score Ø 60%

89%

30%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

54% Possession 46%

9 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

27 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Legnica 17. · Stal Mielec 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	11	6	3	2	+6	21
2	Legia	11	6	3	2	+1	21
3	Wisla Plock	11	6	2	3	+10	20
4	Rakow	9	6	1	2	+9	19
5	Cracovia	11	5	2	4	+5	17
6	Widzew Lodz	10	5	1	4	+4	16
7	Zaglebie	11	4	4	3	-2	16
8	Lech Poznan	10	4	3	3	+2	15
9	Radomiak Radom	11	4	2	5	-4	14
10	Jagiellonia	10	3	4	3	+3	13
11	Gornik Zabrze	10	3	4	3	+0	13
12	Slask Wroclaw	10	3	4	3	-4	13
13	Stal Mielec	10	4	1	5	-5	13
14	Korona Kielce	10	3	2	5	-1	11
15	Piast Gliwice	10	3	2	5	-1	11
16	Warta Poznan	10	3	2	5	-4	11
17	Legnica	9	1	2	6	-7	5
18	Lechia Gdansk	10	1	2	7	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Pogon Szczecin	6	4	2	0	+6	14
3	Wisla Plock	5	4	1	0	+8	13
4	Legia	5	4	1	0	+6	13
5	Cracovia	6	3	1	2	+5	10
6	Jagiellonia	5	3	0	2	+4	9
7	Slask Wroclaw	5	2	2	1	-1	8
8	Piast Gliwice	4	2	1	1	+4	7
9	Stal Mielec	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Radomiak Radom	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Lech Poznan	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Widzew Lodz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
13	Zaglebie	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Gornik Zabrze	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Korona Kielce	5	1	1	3	-1	4
16	Legnica	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Lechia Gdansk	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Warta Poznan	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	6	3	1	2	+3	10
2	Warta Poznan	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Zaglebie	6	3	1	2	-2	10
4	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Lech Poznan	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Legia	6	2	2	2	-5	8
7	Wisla Plock	6	2	1	3	+2	7
8	Korona Kielce	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Pogon Szczecin	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Cracovia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Radomiak Radom	5	2	1	2	-2	7
12	Stal Mielec	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Slask Wroclaw	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Jagiellonia	5	0	4	1	-1	4
15	Piast Gliwice	6	1	1	4	-5	4
16	Rakow	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	0	5	-8	3
18	Legnica	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.