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Ekstraklasa

Referee: K Jakubik

Stal Mielec

T T U S T

0–3

Full-time

Widzew Lodz

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Widzew Lodz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 44%

44%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

Both score Ø 39%

33%

44%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

17 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

10 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stal Mielec 8. · Widzew Lodz 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	10	6	2	2	+1	20
2	Wisla Plock	9	5	2	2	+10	17
3	Pogon Szczecin	9	5	2	2	+5	17
4	Rakow	8	5	1	2	+6	16
5	Radomiak Radom	9	4	2	3	+1	14
6	Cracovia	9	4	1	4	+3	13
7	Widzew Lodz	9	4	1	4	+1	13
8	Stal Mielec	9	4	1	4	-2	13
9	Slask Wroclaw	10	3	4	3	-4	13
10	Jagiellonia	9	3	3	3	+3	12
11	Lech Poznan	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Piast Gliwice	9	3	2	4	+0	11
13	Korona Kielce	9	3	2	4	+0	11
14	Warta Poznan	9	3	2	4	-3	11
15	Gornik Zabrze	8	2	4	2	+0	10
16	Zaglebie	9	2	4	3	-4	10
17	Legnica	9	1	2	6	-7	5
18	Lechia Gdansk	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Legia	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Pogon Szczecin	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Wisla Plock	4	3	1	0	+7	10
5	Cracovia	5	3	0	2	+5	9
6	Jagiellonia	5	3	0	2	+4	9
7	Slask Wroclaw	5	2	2	1	-1	8
8	Piast Gliwice	4	2	1	1	+4	7
9	Stal Mielec	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Radomiak Radom	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Widzew Lodz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
12	Lech Poznan	5	2	0	3	-2	6
13	Gornik Zabrze	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Korona Kielce	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Legnica	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Zaglebie	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Warta Poznan	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Warta Poznan	5	3	1	1	+3	10
2	Wisla Plock	5	2	1	2	+3	7
3	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Korona Kielce	5	2	1	2	+0	7
5	Widzew Lodz	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Zaglebie	5	2	1	2	-3	7
7	Legia	5	2	1	2	-5	7
8	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Stal Mielec	5	2	0	3	-5	6
10	Lech Poznan	3	1	2	0	+3	5
11	Gornik Zabrze	3	1	2	0	+3	5
12	Slask Wroclaw	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Cracovia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Piast Gliwice	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Jagiellonia	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Rakow	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Legnica	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.