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Puchar Polski
Referee: T Musial
Lechia Gdansk
T S S S T
2–2
Full-time
Legia
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
This season — Puchar Polski · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,0
4,0
Scored
4,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
4 Shots 29
4 Shots on target 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 19
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 20. · Legia 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pogoń Siedlce 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Motor Lublin 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Kalisz 4 2 2 0 +6 8
4 Gornik Zabrze 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Górnik Łęczna 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Slask Wroclaw 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Radomiak Radom 2 2 0 0 +5 6
8 Legia 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Piast Gliwice 3 2 0 1 +3 6
10 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Lechia Zielona Góra 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 Resovia Rzeszów 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Radunia Stężyca 3 2 0 1 +0 6
14 Wisla 2 1 1 0 +5 4
15 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 2 1 1 0 +3 4
16 Puszcza 2 1 1 0 +1 4
17 Olimpia Elbląg 3 1 1 1 +1 4
18 Stal Rzeszów 2 1 1 0 +1 4
19 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +3 3
20 Lechia Gdansk 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Cracovia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
22 Jastrzębie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 GKS Katowice 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Ruch Chorzow 2 1 0 1 +1 3
26 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Chrobry Głogów 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Wisla Plock 2 1 0 1 -1 3
31 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
33 Widzew Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Pogon Szczecin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 LKS Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Garbarnia Kraków 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Arka Gdynia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Korona Kielce 2 0 1 1 -1 1
39 Stal Mielec 2 0 1 1 -3 1
40 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Podbeskidzie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Wikielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Lechia Dzierżoniów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Łagów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Znicz Pruszków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Pogoń Szczecin II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Sokół Ostróda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 Chełmianka Chełm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Radomsko 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Bałtyk Gdynia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Wigry Suwałki 1 0 0 1 -4 0
67 Start Jełowa 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.