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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Kwiatkowski

Pogon Szczecin

T U U U S

1–4

Full-time

Gornik Zabrze

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Gornik Zabrze

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,2

3,2

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 15/14 matches

Win Ø 38%

47%

29%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

67%

64%

Both score Ø 72%

80%

64%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%

14 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 3. · Gornik Zabrze 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	15	11	2	2	+16	35
2	Legia	16	9	4	3	+5	31
3	Pogon Szczecin	15	7	5	3	+6	26
4	Widzew Lodz	15	8	2	5	+6	26
5	Stal Mielec	16	8	2	6	+3	26
6	Wisla Plock	15	7	4	4	+10	25
7	Cracovia	16	7	4	5	+7	25
8	Warta Poznan	16	7	3	6	+2	24
9	Lech Poznan	14	6	4	4	+3	22
10	Radomiak Radom	15	6	2	7	-3	20
11	Slask Wroclaw	15	5	5	5	-4	20
12	Jagiellonia	16	4	6	6	+0	18
13	Gornik Zabrze	14	4	5	5	-1	17
14	Zaglebie	16	4	5	7	-13	17
15	Lechia Gdansk	15	4	2	9	-11	14
16	Piast Gliwice	16	3	4	9	-6	13
17	Korona Kielce	15	3	4	8	-7	13
18	Legnica	14	1	3	10	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	Legia	8	6	2	0	+8	20
3	Wisla Plock	7	5	1	1	+8	16
4	Pogon Szczecin	7	4	3	0	+6	15
5	Stal Mielec	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Cracovia	9	4	2	3	+5	14
7	Widzew Lodz	7	4	1	2	+5	13
8	Jagiellonia	8	4	1	3	+4	13
9	Slask Wroclaw	8	3	3	2	+0	12
10	Radomiak Radom	8	3	1	4	-1	10
11	Lech Poznan	8	3	1	4	-2	10
12	Gornik Zabrze	8	2	2	4	-2	8
13	Piast Gliwice	8	2	1	5	-1	7
14	Zaglebie	8	1	4	3	-5	7
15	Korona Kielce	7	1	2	4	-3	5
16	Legnica	7	1	2	4	-5	5
17	Warta Poznan	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	2	3	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Warta Poznan	9	6	1	2	+7	19
2	Rakow	7	4	1	2	+4	13
3	Widzew Lodz	8	4	1	3	+1	13
4	Lech Poznan	6	3	3	0	+5	12
5	Stal Mielec	8	4	0	4	-2	12
6	Cracovia	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Pogon Szczecin	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Legia	8	3	2	3	-3	11
9	Radomiak Radom	7	3	1	3	-2	10
10	Zaglebie	8	3	1	4	-8	10
11	Wisla Plock	8	2	3	3	+2	9
12	Gornik Zabrze	6	2	3	1	+1	9
13	Lechia Gdansk	9	3	0	6	-5	9
14	Korona Kielce	8	2	2	4	-4	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	7	2	2	3	-4	8
16	Piast Gliwice	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Jagiellonia	8	0	5	3	-4	5
18	Legnica	7	0	1	6	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.