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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Kos

Pogon Szczecin

T S U T T

3–1

Full-time

Warta Poznan

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Warta Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

This season — Ekstraklasa · 20/19 matches

Win Ø 39%

40%

37%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

65%

26%

Both score Ø 56%

75%

37%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%

19 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 6. · Warta Poznan 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	21	15	4	2	+26	49
2	Legia	20	11	6	3	+7	39
3	Lech Poznan	20	10	6	4	+7	36
4	Widzew Lodz	21	10	5	6	+6	35
5	Cracovia	21	9	5	7	+8	32
6	Pogon Szczecin	20	8	6	6	+0	30
7	Stal Mielec	21	8	5	8	+1	29
8	Wisla Plock	19	8	4	7	+3	28
9	Radomiak Radom	20	8	4	8	-1	28
10	Warta Poznan	19	7	6	6	+2	27
11	Slask Wroclaw	21	6	7	8	-7	25
12	Jagiellonia	20	5	8	7	+1	23
13	Gornik Zabrze	21	5	7	9	-6	22
14	Lechia Gdansk	21	6	4	11	-12	22
15	Piast Gliwice	20	5	5	10	-3	20
16	Korona Kielce	21	5	5	11	-8	20
17	Zaglebie	20	5	5	10	-14	20
18	Legnica	20	3	6	11	-10	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	11	10	1	0	+21	31
2	Legia	10	7	3	0	+9	24
3	Cracovia	11	6	2	3	+8	20
4	Wisla Plock	9	6	1	2	+8	19
5	Widzew Lodz	11	5	3	3	+4	18
6	Jagiellonia	10	5	1	4	+5	16
7	Stal Mielec	10	4	4	2	+5	16
8	Lech Poznan	10	5	1	4	+0	16
9	Pogon Szczecin	9	4	3	2	+1	15
10	Slask Wroclaw	11	3	5	3	-3	14
11	Radomiak Radom	10	4	1	5	-1	13
12	Lechia Gdansk	10	3	3	4	-6	12
13	Korona Kielce	10	3	2	5	-2	11
14	Legnica	10	2	4	4	-4	10
15	Gornik Zabrze	11	2	4	5	-5	10
16	Piast Gliwice	9	2	2	5	-1	8
17	Warta Poznan	10	1	5	4	-5	8
18	Zaglebie	11	1	4	6	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	10	5	5	0	+7	20
2	Warta Poznan	9	6	1	2	+7	19
3	Rakow	10	5	3	2	+5	18
4	Widzew Lodz	10	5	2	3	+2	17
5	Radomiak Radom	10	4	3	3	+0	15
6	Pogon Szczecin	11	4	3	4	-1	15
7	Legia	10	4	3	3	-2	15
8	Stal Mielec	11	4	1	6	-4	13
9	Zaglebie	9	4	1	4	-5	13
10	Cracovia	10	3	3	4	+0	12
11	Gornik Zabrze	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Piast Gliwice	11	3	3	5	-2	12
13	Slask Wroclaw	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Lechia Gdansk	11	3	1	7	-6	10
15	Wisla Plock	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Korona Kielce	11	2	3	6	-6	9
17	Jagiellonia	10	0	7	3	-4	7
18	Legnica	10	1	2	7	-6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.