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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Stefanski

Warta Poznan

S U U U T

5–1

Full-time

Korona Kielce

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 20/21 matches

Win Ø 30%

35%

24%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

30%

43%

Both score Ø 51%

40%

62%

Average goals

2,1

2,6

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

48% Possession 52%

10 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Warta Poznan 10. · Korona Kielce 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	22	16	4	2	+27	52
2	Legia	22	12	7	3	+8	43
3	Widzew Lodz	22	10	6	6	+6	36
4	Lech Poznan	21	10	6	5	+6	36
5	Pogon Szczecin	21	9	6	6	+2	33
6	Cracovia	22	9	5	8	+7	32
7	Stal Mielec	21	8	5	8	+1	29
8	Radomiak Radom	21	8	5	8	-1	29
9	Wisla Plock	20	8	4	8	+2	28
10	Warta Poznan	20	7	6	7	+0	27
11	Slask Wroclaw	21	6	7	8	-7	25
12	Jagiellonia	22	5	9	8	+0	24
13	Piast Gliwice	22	6	5	11	-3	23
14	Zaglebie	21	6	5	10	-13	23
15	Gornik Zabrze	21	5	7	9	-6	22
16	Lechia Gdansk	21	6	4	11	-12	22
17	Korona Kielce	21	5	5	11	-8	20
18	Legnica	21	4	6	11	-9	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	11	10	1	0	+21	31
2	Legia	11	7	4	0	+9	25
3	Cracovia	11	6	2	3	+8	20
4	Wisla Plock	9	6	1	2	+8	19
5	Widzew Lodz	11	5	3	3	+4	18
6	Pogon Szczecin	10	5	3	2	+3	18
7	Stal Mielec	10	4	4	2	+5	16
8	Jagiellonia	11	5	1	5	+4	16
9	Lech Poznan	11	5	1	5	-1	16
10	Radomiak Radom	11	4	2	5	-1	14
11	Slask Wroclaw	11	3	5	3	-3	14
12	Legnica	11	3	4	4	-3	13
13	Lechia Gdansk	10	3	3	4	-6	12
14	Piast Gliwice	11	3	2	6	-1	11
15	Korona Kielce	10	3	2	5	-2	11
16	Gornik Zabrze	11	2	4	5	-5	10
17	Warta Poznan	10	1	5	4	-5	8
18	Zaglebie	11	1	4	6	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	11	6	3	2	+6	21
2	Lech Poznan	10	5	5	0	+7	20
3	Warta Poznan	10	6	1	3	+5	19
4	Widzew Lodz	11	5	3	3	+2	18
5	Legia	11	5	3	3	-1	18
6	Zaglebie	10	5	1	4	-4	16
7	Radomiak Radom	10	4	3	3	+0	15
8	Pogon Szczecin	11	4	3	4	-1	15
9	Stal Mielec	11	4	1	6	-4	13
10	Gornik Zabrze	10	3	3	4	-1	12
11	Cracovia	11	3	3	5	-1	12
12	Piast Gliwice	11	3	3	5	-2	12
13	Slask Wroclaw	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Lechia Gdansk	11	3	1	7	-6	10
15	Wisla Plock	11	2	3	6	-6	9
16	Korona Kielce	11	2	3	6	-6	9
17	Jagiellonia	11	0	8	3	-4	8
18	Legnica	10	1	2	7	-6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.