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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Stefanski
Gornik Zabrze
U T S T T
3–2
Full-time
Wisla Plock
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Wisla Plock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
1,5
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 32%
25%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
54%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
54%
58%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

47% Possession 53%
21 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 16. · Wisla Plock 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 24 18 4 2 +32 58
2 Legia 24 14 7 3 +11 49
3 Lech Poznan 24 11 7 6 +10 40
4 Pogon Szczecin 24 11 6 7 +2 39
5 Widzew Lodz 24 10 7 7 +4 37
6 Cracovia 24 9 7 8 +7 34
7 Warta Poznan 24 9 7 8 +5 34
8 Wisla Plock 24 9 5 10 +1 32
9 Radomiak Radom 24 9 5 10 -1 32
10 Stal Mielec 24 8 5 11 -4 29
11 Slask Wroclaw 24 7 8 9 -9 29
12 Zaglebie 24 8 5 11 -12 29
13 Jagiellonia 24 6 10 8 +1 28
14 Piast Gliwice 24 7 6 11 -1 27
15 Korona Kielce 24 7 5 12 -10 26
16 Gornik Zabrze 24 6 7 11 -7 25
17 Lechia Gdansk 24 7 4 13 -15 25
18 Legnica 24 4 7 13 -14 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gornik Zabrze Wisla Plock
Richard Jensen 🟨
16′
17′
M. Szwoch 0–1
Boris Sekulić 🟨
25′
35′
🟨 Jakub Rzeźniczak
Half-time 0–2
46′
D. Kocyła 0–2
D. Furman
E. Bergström 🔁
↦ R. Jensen
46′
K. Okunuki 🔁
↦ J. Jules
53′
1–2 D. Rasak
S. Włodarczyk
57′
2–2 Ł. Podolski
61′
Lukas Podolski 🟨
63′
63′
🟨 Piotr Tomasik
64′
🟨 Dominik Furman
66′
🔁 A. Chrzanowski
↦ D. Kocyła
66′
🔁 M. Lewandowski
↦ B. Śpiączka
66′
🔁 M. Kolar
↦ R. Wolski
68′
🟨 Adam Chrzanowski
Kanji Okunuki 🟨
71′
N. Wojtuszek 🔁
↦ B. Sekulić
79′
J. Kotzke 🔁
↦ D. Rasak
86′
R. Dadok 🔁
↦ S. Włodarczyk
86′
86′
🔁 M. Gono
↦ D. Furman
86′
🔁 K. Vallo
↦ M. Šulek
3–2 Ł. Podolski
E. Janža
87′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

4-4-2
1 D. Bielica G
2 B. Sekulić D
26 R. Janicki D
3 R. Jensen D
64 E. Janža D
41 D. Yokota M
6 D. Rasak M
23 J. Jules M
7 Dani Pacheco M
10 Ł. Podolski F
20 S. Włodarczyk F
Bench (9)
13 E. Bergström
33 K. Okunuki
15 N. Wojtuszek
25 J. Kotzke
96 R. Dadok
16 P. Olkowski
14 J. Pochcioł
4 A. Paluszek
31 P. Sokół

Coach: B. Gaul

Wisla Plock

4-3-1-2
1 K. Kamiński G
19 M. Šulek D
25 J. Rzeźniczak D
3 S. Kapuadi D
77 P. Tomasik D
14 M. Szwoch M
8 D. Furman M
23 F. Lesniak M
10 R. Wolski M
18 B. Śpiączka F
9 D. Kocyła F
Bench (9)
4 A. Chrzanowski
17 M. Lewandowski
24 M. Kolar
22 M. Gono
15 K. Vallo
89 A. Pawlak
69 B. Gradecki
27 M. Kvocera
7 R. Cielemęcki

Coach: P. Staňo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Stefanski · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.