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Ekstraklasa
Referee: B Frankowski
Gornik Zabrze
T U U T S
0–1
Full-time
Legia
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 41%
27%
55%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 14. · Legia 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 22 16 4 2 +27 52
2 Legia 22 12 7 3 +8 43
3 Lech Poznan 23 11 6 6 +10 39
4 Widzew Lodz 23 10 6 7 +4 36
5 Pogon Szczecin 22 10 6 6 +3 36
6 Warta Poznan 22 9 6 7 +6 33
7 Cracovia 22 9 5 8 +7 32
8 Radomiak Radom 22 9 5 8 +1 32
9 Stal Mielec 23 8 5 10 -2 29
10 Wisla Plock 22 8 4 10 +0 28
11 Slask Wroclaw 22 7 7 8 -6 28
12 Piast Gliwice 23 7 5 11 -1 26
13 Zaglebie 22 7 5 10 -12 26
14 Gornik Zabrze 22 6 7 9 -5 25
15 Jagiellonia 22 5 9 8 +0 24
16 Korona Kielce 23 6 5 12 -11 23
17 Lechia Gdansk 23 6 4 13 -19 22
18 Legnica 22 4 6 12 -10 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gornik Zabrze Legia
Blaž Vrhovec 🟨
18′
33′
🟨 Yuri Ribeiro
38′
T. Pekhart 0–1
E. Muçi
Jean Jules Mvondo 🟨
43′
Jean Jules Mvondo ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
43′
Half-time 0–1
Dani Pacheco 🔁
↦ B. Vrhovec
46′
50′
🟨 Tomáš Pekhart
A. van den Hurk 🔁
↦ S. Włodarczyk
61′
62′
🔁 Carlitos
↦ E. Muçi
62′
🔁 M. Rosołek
↦ T. Pekhart
Anthony van den Hurk 🟨
63′
64′
🟨 Josué
65′
🟨 Josué
65′
🟥 Josué
D. Yokota 🔁
↦ R. Janicki
72′
77′
🔁 P. Sokołowski
↦ Carlitos
N. Wojtuszek 🔁
↦ P. Olkowski
80′
K. Okunuki 🔁
↦ R. Dadok
80′
90′
🔁 J. Çelhaka
↦ B. Kapustka
92′
🟨 Dominik Hładun
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

3-4-2-1
1 D. Bielica G
13 E. Bergström D
26 R. Janicki D
3 R. Jensen D
16 P. Olkowski M
8 B. Vrhovec M
23 J. Jules M
64 E. Janža M
96 R. Dadok F
20 S. Włodarczyk F
10 Ł. Podolski F
Bench (9)
7 Dani Pacheco
9 A. van den Hurk
41 D. Yokota
15 N. Wojtuszek
33 K. Okunuki
2 B. Sekulić
31 P. Sokół
25 J. Kotzke
4 A. Paluszek

Coach: B. Gaul

Legia

3-4-1-2
30 D. Hładun G
8 R. Augustyniak D
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
17 M. Nawrocki D
13 P. Wszołek M
99 B. Slisz M
67 B. Kapustka M
5 Yuri Ribeiro M
27 Josué F
7 T. Pekhart F
20 E. Muçi F
Bench (9)
19 Carlitos
39 M. Rosołek
18 P. Sokołowski
16 J. Çelhaka
80 J. Trojanowski
86 I. Strzałek
11 R. Pich
63 J. Kisiel
26 F. Rejczyk

Coach: K. Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Frankowski · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.