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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Kwiatkowski

Jagiellonia

U S U T U

2–1

Full-time

Gornik Zabrze

U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Gornik Zabrze

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

1,8

1,3

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 24%

22%

26%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

43%

52%

Both score Ø 59%

65%

52%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%

10 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 8

3 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 15. · Gornik Zabrze 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	24	18	4	2	+32	58
2	Legia	23	13	7	3	+9	46
3	Lech Poznan	23	11	6	6	+10	39
4	Pogon Szczecin	24	11	6	7	+2	39
5	Widzew Lodz	23	10	6	7	+4	36
6	Cracovia	23	9	6	8	+7	33
7	Warta Poznan	23	9	6	8	+5	33
8	Radomiak Radom	24	9	5	10	-1	32
9	Wisla Plock	23	9	4	10	+1	31
10	Stal Mielec	23	8	5	10	-2	29
11	Slask Wroclaw	24	7	8	9	-9	29
12	Zaglebie	24	8	5	11	-12	29
13	Piast Gliwice	23	7	5	11	-1	26
14	Korona Kielce	24	7	5	12	-10	26
15	Jagiellonia	23	5	10	8	+0	25
16	Gornik Zabrze	23	6	7	10	-6	25
17	Lechia Gdansk	24	7	4	13	-15	25
18	Legnica	24	4	7	13	-14	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	12	11	1	0	+24	34
2	Legia	11	7	4	0	+9	25
3	Wisla Plock	11	7	1	3	+8	22
4	Cracovia	12	6	3	3	+8	21
5	Lech Poznan	12	6	1	5	+4	19
6	Widzew Lodz	12	5	3	4	+2	18
7	Pogon Szczecin	11	5	3	3	+1	18
8	Korona Kielce	12	5	2	5	+0	17
9	Slask Wroclaw	12	4	5	3	-2	17
10	Jagiellonia	11	5	1	5	+4	16
11	Stal Mielec	12	4	4	4	+2	16
12	Lechia Gdansk	12	4	3	5	-4	15
13	Radomiak Radom	12	4	2	6	-2	14
14	Legnica	12	3	5	4	-3	14
15	Warta Poznan	11	2	5	4	-1	11
16	Piast Gliwice	11	3	2	6	-1	11
17	Gornik Zabrze	12	2	4	6	-6	10
18	Zaglebie	13	2	4	7	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	12	7	3	2	+8	24
2	Warta Poznan	12	7	1	4	+6	22
3	Pogon Szczecin	13	6	3	4	+1	21
4	Legia	12	6	3	3	+0	21
5	Lech Poznan	11	5	5	1	+6	20
6	Zaglebie	11	6	1	4	-3	19
7	Widzew Lodz	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	Radomiak Radom	12	5	3	4	+1	18
9	Gornik Zabrze	11	4	3	4	+0	15
10	Piast Gliwice	12	4	3	5	+0	15
11	Stal Mielec	11	4	1	6	-4	13
12	Cracovia	11	3	3	5	-1	12
13	Slask Wroclaw	12	3	3	6	-7	12
14	Lechia Gdansk	12	3	1	8	-11	10
15	Jagiellonia	12	0	9	3	-4	9
16	Wisla Plock	12	2	3	7	-7	9
17	Korona Kielce	12	2	3	7	-10	9
18	Legnica	12	1	2	9	-11	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.