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Puchar Polski

Referee: K Jakubik

LKS Lodz

T T T S T

2–2

Full-time

Stal Mielec

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LKS Lodz Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

2,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Motor Lublin	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Pogoń Siedlce	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Radunia Stężyca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Kalisz	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Olimpia Elbląg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Chrobry Głogów	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Kalisz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
28	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
29	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
30	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olimpia Elbląg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Kalisz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Chrobry Głogów	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.