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Ekstraklasa

Referee: J Przybył

Stal Mielec

S S T U T

2–1

Full-time

Puszcza

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Puszcza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 31%

33%

28%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

61%

50%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,59 xG 0,96

73% Possession 27%

17 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 6

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stal Mielec 11. · Puszcza 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	19	12	5	2	+16	+2.2	41
2	Jagiellonia	19	11	5	3	+18	+6.6	38
3	Lech Poznan	19	9	6	4	+7	-2.0	33
4	Rakow	18	9	5	4	+13	+11.2	32
5	Legia	19	9	5	5	+6	+6.8	32
6	Pogon Szczecin	19	9	3	7	+11	+10.4	30
7	Gornik Zabrze	19	7	5	7	+1	-1.8	26
8	Zaglebie	19	7	4	8	-9	+3.3	25
9	Piast Gliwice	18	4	12	2	+4	+10.4	24
10	Radomiak Radom	19	6	6	7	+1	+2.3	24
11	Stal Mielec	18	6	4	8	-4	-7.8	22
12	Widzew Lodz	19	6	4	9	-5	-2.8	22
13	Cracovia	19	4	9	6	-6	-3.8	21
14	Puszcza	18	5	5	8	-10	-11.1	20
15	Warta Poznan	19	4	7	8	-6	-4.0	19
16	Korona Kielce	18	3	9	6	-2	-4.3	18
17	Ruch Chorzow	19	1	10	8	-12	-7.3	13
18	LKS Lodz	18	2	4	12	-23	-8.5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	9	8	1	0	+19	+7.7	25
2	Rakow	10	7	3	0	+17	+11.0	24
3	Lech Poznan	10	6	2	2	+10	+0.5	20
4	Legia	10	6	2	2	+9	+7.6	20
5	Slask Wroclaw	9	5	3	1	+8	+4.3	18
6	Gornik Zabrze	9	5	2	2	+3	-1.8	17
7	Puszcza	10	4	4	2	+0	-3.4	16
8	Zaglebie	10	4	3	3	-1	+2.7	15
9	Widzew Lodz	9	5	0	4	-1	+4.5	15
10	Stal Mielec	8	4	2	2	+5	-0.9	14
11	Pogon Szczecin	10	4	2	4	+3	+11.8	14
12	Piast Gliwice	8	3	4	1	+4	+7.6	13
13	Radomiak Radom	10	2	5	3	+1	+2.9	11
14	Cracovia	10	2	5	3	-4	-0.4	11
15	Korona Kielce	8	2	4	2	+2	+3.9	10
16	LKS Lodz	10	2	4	4	-9	-7.5	10
17	Ruch Chorzow	9	1	5	3	-4	-1.7	8
18	Warta Poznan	9	1	3	5	-5	-0.8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	10	7	2	1	+8	-2.1	23
2	Pogon Szczecin	9	5	1	3	+8	-1.4	16
3	Radomiak Radom	9	4	1	4	+0	-0.6	13
4	Jagiellonia	10	3	4	3	-1	-1.1	13
5	Warta Poznan	10	3	4	3	-1	-3.2	13
6	Lech Poznan	9	3	4	2	-3	-2.5	13
7	Legia	9	3	3	3	-3	-0.8	12
8	Piast Gliwice	10	1	8	1	+0	+2.8	11
9	Cracovia	9	2	4	3	-2	-3.4	10
10	Zaglebie	9	3	1	5	-8	+0.6	10
11	Gornik Zabrze	10	2	3	5	-2	-0.1	9
12	Rakow	8	2	2	4	-4	+0.2	8
13	Korona Kielce	10	1	5	4	-4	-8.2	8
14	Stal Mielec	10	2	2	6	-9	-7.0	8
15	Widzew Lodz	10	1	4	5	-4	-7.3	7
16	Ruch Chorzow	10	0	5	5	-8	-5.6	5
17	Puszcza	8	1	1	6	-10	-7.7	4
18	LKS Lodz	8	0	0	8	-14	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.